Here is very close to Macon. I didn't have the time-frame between, but I am sure it rolls through there just before.
It's worse than the one I posted above.
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Severe Two-Part Severe Weather Threat 1/19 & 1/21 - 1/22
- Thread starter Bama Ravens
- Start date
It's worse than the one I posted above.
gawxnative
Member
Well Part 2 Underway.. Tornado Watch 15 (LA/MS and 16 TX/AR in effect until 2200 CST and first warned Cell near Jefferson, TX
DadOfJax
Member
Anybody have a good list of livestreams?
Good lord at those soundings. Looks like there is going to be a hell of a battle tomorrow between the remaining wedge and the incoming flood of waa as well
. Farther east, confidence continues to increase
concerning severe weather potential associated with restrengthening
of west southwesterly 850 mb flow (50+ kt) across portions of
southern Alabama into southern Georgia, late this evening into the
overnight hours. As the boundary layer moistens and destabilizes
across this region, and low-level hodographs enlarge, supercells
capable of producing tornadoes (some strong) appear increasingly
likely.
Well round 2?
concerning severe weather potential associated with restrengthening
of west southwesterly 850 mb flow (50+ kt) across portions of
southern Alabama into southern Georgia, late this evening into the
overnight hours. As the boundary layer moistens and destabilizes
across this region, and low-level hodographs enlarge, supercells
capable of producing tornadoes (some strong) appear increasingly
likely.
Well round 2?
I think you and I probably go under a MDT maybe as early as the next D1 update at 8pmNo thanks. This is over my back yard in Lexington with cells rolling through. Nope. not having it.
Here is very close to Macon. I didn't have the time-frame between, but I am sure it rolls through there just before.
It's worse than the one I posted above.
If that is right, that's the scariest sounding I have ever seen here for sure. Or that I can remember. Funny thing is the sun has been out for now like an hour or so
JHS
Member
That wedge boundary will probably provide a focus for a greater tornado threat and the 18z GFS shows that boundary close to I-85 in SC and NC with tremendous instability at one point from near Athens GA to near Augusta. If that is right, I am going to be about 15 miles south of that boundary for much of tomorrow afternoon.
I'm actually more concerned about overnight than today's stuff. The strength of the jet should be stronger, Cape could be just as high.
Wow, Maybe some Tornado damage in Southern South Carolina!! #scwx
Yea... Chris I am here in Southern South Carolina, and I think the church commute could be terrible looking @ latest models and the strength of the jet also!!
And the radar site is down.
WeatherDawg87
Member
What time frame does everyone see the main threat to be in South Georgia?
That's pretty bad timing.
pcbjr
Member
S GA stretches across a pretty long piece of real estate - where in S GA?
If you are in SW GA the best up to date info might be Tall NWS - they are real good and right on top of it in situations like this. In SE GA, NWS JAX is an option, but half the time they are asleep at the wheel and report what's happening now the next morning.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Looks like I am in the elevated risk for tomorrow. SE NC is in thexcellent enhanced area.
WeatherDawg87
Member
I'm just up I-75 from you in Valdosta. After the recent severe wind event in Albany, I think that this region is better prepared for what may potentially happen this time around.
CoreyTheSecond
Member
It's cool here in Atlanta. I don't think the warm front will make it this far north.
pcbjr
Member
Severe is not my forte - so grain of salt here - but I think you are south of bad but will get some good rain (hope that's not "famous last words" so to speak).
PS - That's pronounced "All Been E" in 3 distinct syllables!
pcbjr
Member
Yikes!I got this picture outside earlier. If this doesn't scream severe weather coming to my back yard, I don't know what does. No Photoshop, straight from the camera.
And here we go tornado watch up for the southern half of Alabama
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Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Interesting that they came that far north with PDS
Bama Ravens
Member
PDS Tornado Watch for central and south Alabama, parts of the FL panhandle and far SE MS.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 17
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
650 PM CST Sat Jan 21 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and southern Alabama
Western and central Florida Panhandle
Small part of southeastern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 650 PM
until 300 AM CST.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter
possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of storms now moving into extreme southwestern
Alabama is the first of what likely will be several areas of severe
weather moving across this watch overnight. As a warm front moves
northward across the region, conditions will moisten and destabilize
considerably amidst strong vertical shear. The resulting parameter
space is one often associated with long-lasting, intense tornadoes
rated EF2 or greater.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles
north and south of a line from 80 miles north of Mobile AL to 50
miles south of Columbus GA. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 17
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
650 PM CST Sat Jan 21 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and southern Alabama
Western and central Florida Panhandle
Small part of southeastern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 650 PM
until 300 AM CST.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter
possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of storms now moving into extreme southwestern
Alabama is the first of what likely will be several areas of severe
weather moving across this watch overnight. As a warm front moves
northward across the region, conditions will moisten and destabilize
considerably amidst strong vertical shear. The resulting parameter
space is one often associated with long-lasting, intense tornadoes
rated EF2 or greater.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles
north and south of a line from 80 miles north of Mobile AL to 50
miles south of Columbus GA. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
gawxnative
Member
650 PM CST Sat Jan 21 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and southern Alabama
Western and central Florida Panhandle
Small part of southeastern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 650 PM
until 300 AM CST.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter
possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of storms now moving into extreme southwestern
Alabama is the first of what likely will be several areas of severe
weather moving across this watch overnight. As a warm front moves
northward across the region, conditions will moisten and destabilize
considerably amidst strong vertical shear. The resulting parameter
space is one often associated with long-lasting, intense tornadoes
rated EF2 or greater.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles
north and south of a line from 80 miles north of Mobile AL to 50
miles south of Columbus GA. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and southern Alabama
Western and central Florida Panhandle
Small part of southeastern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 650 PM
until 300 AM CST.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter
possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of storms now moving into extreme southwestern
Alabama is the first of what likely will be several areas of severe
weather moving across this watch overnight. As a warm front moves
northward across the region, conditions will moisten and destabilize
considerably amidst strong vertical shear. The resulting parameter
space is one often associated with long-lasting, intense tornadoes
rated EF2 or greater.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles
north and south of a line from 80 miles north of Mobile AL to 50
miles south of Columbus GA. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
Bama Ravens
Member
Same here.
Storm5
Member
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RollTide18
Member
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Did they draw the map right or got the description of the watch wrong?
gawxnative
Member
Nope it s correct 100 miles north and south of a line from 80 N of Mob to 50 south of COL GA...
Bama Ravens
Member
No, it is right. You have to add the 100 statute miles to the 80 miles north of Mobile. So 180 miles would be right.
Looks like the 1st of maybe a few of those the next 24 hours
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gawxnative
Member
I can't remember a PDS in January though
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I expect there to be a PDS watch for at least the southern 2/3 of Georgia and parts of South Carolina and probably North Florida as well. Going to be a long night and long day tomorrow.
Interested to see how things shake out. Not sure that the surge of Waa will be enough to get as far north as the entire pds watch. Also will be interesting to see what happens behind this initial surge of convection
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Meanwhile there are quite a few couplets across Louisiana
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Storm5
Member
Yeah there are a few beasts back in Louisiana
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Hrrr really gets going in the morning
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Yeah I think that dews will recover after this convective surge. Maybe I'm crazy but I think tomorrow morning could be just as if not more active than tonight
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thanksgivingbrown
Member
I believe the last time a PDS tornado watch was issued in January was on January 22, 2012