Tropical TS OPHELIA ?

[Shaggy]

Seems to have drawn in a touch of drier air. Capped potential for sure because of the previous convective burst had maintained it could have ramped up a bit more.

 

[Shaggy]

NAM still showing 50+ wind gust here in the morning, just once I'd like to see the NAM wind gust forecast be right, just once.

It did pretty well with my area and the further west position versus the globals that had this moving due North through the sounds. I said a few times it was the hi res versus the globals and I'd say the hi res is winning here.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Nam gets it down to 978. Not much time left

 

[Belle Lechat]

11:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 22
Location: 33.6°N 76.8°W +.3 N +.2 W
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 984 mb
Max sustained: 70 mph

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Shaggy]

If this is the true center it appears to have resumed some westward component to it

 

[Brent]

NHC already saying it may have briefly been a hurricane earlier this evening

Radar imagery and
microwave data from that period showed that a mid-level eye feature
had been forming well to the west of the surface center, but that
feature has since dissipated, suggesting that it--and the
hurricane-force winds--may have been a transient occurrence.

 

[Belle Lechat]

Recon en route. Currently over Mississippi. http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/

 

[accu35]

We live?

 

[lexxnchloe]

If this is the true center it appears to have resumed some westward component to it

Looks impressive for a tropical storm

 

[Brick Tamland]

 

[Belle Lechat]

https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/movies/odthtml5_16L.html Dvorak. Darkening around the core.

Edit: It updated. Less dark. Still, you can click through it slowly.

 

[lexxnchloe]

View attachment 137157

70-90 will be scary

 

[Brick Tamland]

70-90?

That's what WRAL is saying.

 

[Shaggy]

70-90 will be scary

You getting these bigger gusts all of a sudden?

 

[lexxnchloe]

You getting these bigger gusts all of a sudden?

Yea, shaking continues. I heard something snap

 

[Shaggy]

Yea, shaking continues. I heard something snap

Definitely my strongest gust of the night a few minutes ago

 

[lexxnchloe]

That's what WRAL is saying.

Im wondering if they are expecting severe weather when it landfalls on the east side.

 

[BullCityWx]

Already gusting at 38MPH at Duke Hospital and the worst winds should be 6z-12z.

 

[Shaggy]

If this is the center that new big band on the west side gets onshore someone is gonna get a ton rain and some decent winds