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Tropical TS Jerry

deltadog03 said:
hmmm...and Jerry right now looks terrible.
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Yeah some of the data on some of those drops makes no sense, Jerry having a hell of a time.....seems to have leveled off though at 993 barely a cane but the last couple of fixes seem to indicate the weakening has slowed or stopped at least for now....
 
Convection is more impressive now than it was a few hours ago and it should be moving into a area with less shear so reorganization should be expected.
 
Hint on 5 pm discussion...,

"At longer range, a mid-latitude trough
will likely turn the hurricane northward and northeastward, but how
quickly that occurs is an open question. The guidance spread has
only increased this afternoon, although the model consensus hasn't
changed much, so the NHC forecast will hold the course on this
advisory."
 
Looks like it’s almost wanting to go through RI just based on its presentation, one hell of a CDO with very cold cloud tops, eye looks like it’s wanting to clear, if it clears with such strong Convection around it, it may really ramp up, but that’s a big if, a unlikely if
 
Navgem 18z hanging on to the Fujiwhara effect in 12z and 06z.....still seeing a block...navgem_mslp_uv850_atl_25.png
 
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Really starting to look good now, even have a small eye trying to pop out on the last frames, and the mid level eye structure is back.

Too bad we might not have recon as they had to turn around twice based off what I saw on the other board. It'd be a perfect time for them to be there.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
Really starting to look good now, even have a small eye trying to pop out on the last frames, and the mid level eye structure is back.

Too bad we might not have recon as they had to turn around twice based off what I saw on the other board. It'd be a perfect time for them to be there.
Click to expand...
AF300 IS IN FLIGHT NOW
 
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