Things are really starting to pick up wow
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Tropical TS Bertha
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Didn't expect to wake up this after the meh looking satellite last night
Wouldn't be entirely surprised to see a tornado watch soon for parts of NC/SC.
Bertha now.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Code:
000
WTNT22 KNHC 271206
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022020
1230 UTC WED MAY 27 2020
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF SOUTH
CAROLINA FROM EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EDISTO BEACH SC TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 79.4W AT 27/1230Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 79.4W AT 27/1230Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 79.6W
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 33.2N 80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 35.8N 81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N 79.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BROWNSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Last edited:
Man things took a crazy turn overnight. Wow
And that makes 2 before June 1st. That’s crazy
Stormsfury
Member
Ramped up very quickly... Good thing Bertha doesn't have much time over water...
286
WTNT42 KNHC 271209
TCDAT2
Tropical Storm Bertha Special Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022020
830 AM EDT Wed May 27 2020
The area of disturbed weather that NHC has been tracking over the
past day or so has quickly become better organized this morning.
The circulation has become better defined and the center has
reformed beneath the area of deep convection just offshore of the
coast of South Carolina. Recent NWS Doppler radar data from
Charleston and buoy data indicates that the system is producing
tropical-storm-force winds. Therefore, advisories are being
initiated on Tropical Storm Bertha. The system will be moving
inland very shortly and little, if any, additional strengthening is
expected. Once inland, the small tropical cyclone should weaken
rapidly and dissipated over central North Carolina on Thursday.
There is very little continuity on the initial motion since the
center has only recently formed. The best estimate of the initial
motion is 320/8 kt. The system should continue to move generally
northwestward around the western side of a mid-level ridge located
over the western Atlantic. The track guidance is in good agreement
on this scenario, and the NHC track forecast is close to a blend of
the GFS and ECMWF models.
Key Messages:
1. Bertha is expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of
eastern and central South Carolina, west-central to far
southeastern North Carolina, and southwest Virginia. This rainfall
may produce life-threatening flash flooding.
2. Bertha is expected to bring tropical storm winds to portions of
the South Carolina coast within the warning area in the next few
hours.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 27/1230Z 32.7N 79.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 27/1800Z 33.2N 80.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 28/0600Z 35.8N 81.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
36H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED
286
WTNT42 KNHC 271209
TCDAT2
Tropical Storm Bertha Special Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022020
830 AM EDT Wed May 27 2020
The area of disturbed weather that NHC has been tracking over the
past day or so has quickly become better organized this morning.
The circulation has become better defined and the center has
reformed beneath the area of deep convection just offshore of the
coast of South Carolina. Recent NWS Doppler radar data from
Charleston and buoy data indicates that the system is producing
tropical-storm-force winds. Therefore, advisories are being
initiated on Tropical Storm Bertha. The system will be moving
inland very shortly and little, if any, additional strengthening is
expected. Once inland, the small tropical cyclone should weaken
rapidly and dissipated over central North Carolina on Thursday.
There is very little continuity on the initial motion since the
center has only recently formed. The best estimate of the initial
motion is 320/8 kt. The system should continue to move generally
northwestward around the western side of a mid-level ridge located
over the western Atlantic. The track guidance is in good agreement
on this scenario, and the NHC track forecast is close to a blend of
the GFS and ECMWF models.
Key Messages:
1. Bertha is expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of
eastern and central South Carolina, west-central to far
southeastern North Carolina, and southwest Virginia. This rainfall
may produce life-threatening flash flooding.
2. Bertha is expected to bring tropical storm winds to portions of
the South Carolina coast within the warning area in the next few
hours.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 27/1230Z 32.7N 79.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 27/1800Z 33.2N 80.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 28/0600Z 35.8N 81.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
36H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED
Downeastnc
Member
The center will cross the coast in the next hr or so.....
blueheronNC
Member
Circulation has a tight core. This could’ve been really bad had it spent any time over water after forming.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Well, that escalated quickly. Going to be an interesting season.
blueheronNC
Member
KLTX NEXRAD really needs to solve their tree growth issue. Radar beam is almost worthless toward the southern third (over the ocean) at this point.
blueheronNC
Member
Looks like landfall east end Isle of Palms. Even started to get lower reflectivity within the center, good thing this is moving inland
Power transformer just blew up, now no power where I am in Mnt Pleasant
Brent
Member
Haha the NAM was right (I saw it last night and laughed)
Surprised there is a flood watch as far west as Charlotte. I don’t see much there with Bertha falling apart this evening. No watch for Wilkes which I agree with.
The clouds from Bertha should make it cool and limit thunderstorms for the west which is good. Actually gives us another day to dry out for places like upstate SC and NC mtns.