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Tropical Tropical Storm Beryl 2024

500 AM AST Sun Jun 30 2024

...BERYL CONTINUING TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY...
...FORECAST TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS AS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------

ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES
 
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/


recon_NOAA3-0202A-BERYL.png
 
@TylerJStanfield
·
5m
It really cannot be overstated how anomalous this is.

Hurricane #Beryl is on the verge of becoming the first ever Category 4 in the Atlantic in June after breaking multiple records for further east hurricane and major hurricane.

This is an incredibly rare event.
 
To add insult to injury, Texas could see a second rain event 3 days later from the next storm with possible escalation to these storms.

gfs_mslp_uv850_watl_fh156-252.gif
 
HWRF has a low of 941 as it approaches the peninsula on Friday.

hwrf_mslp_uv850_02L_fh120-120.gif

And its at 942 as it moves through the cayman islands with the islands to the right of the storm. Wouldn't want to be there. Lived there for a year and it floods like crazy with a normal rain.

hwrf_mslp_uv850_02L_fh99-99.gif
 
Snow_chaser said:
Is Jamaica supposed to weaken Beryl? I know these things can’t stay major monsters forever, but what’s going to weaken Beryl down from a major in those bath waters?
Click to expand...
Land....It rams into the Mexican Penisula at 941 and weakens after that.
 
Brent said:
@TylerJStanfield
·
5m
It really cannot be overstated how anomalous this is.

Hurricane #Beryl is on the verge of becoming the first ever Category 4 in the Atlantic in June after breaking multiple records for further east hurricane and major hurricane.

This is an incredibly rare event.
Click to expand...

Anomalies begets anomalies.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Brent said:
@TylerJStanfield
·
5m
It really cannot be overstated how anomalous this is.

Hurricane #Beryl is on the verge of becoming the first ever Category 4 in the Atlantic in June after breaking multiple records for further east hurricane and major hurricane.

This is an incredibly rare event.
Click to expand...

Snowfan said:
:oops:
...
Click to expand...

Yet, we see it happening earlier and earlier the past few years, and the systems blow up from a tropical storm to a major hurricane in no time more and more.
 
Will be interesting to see what this means for the season as a whole. It developed into a major hurricane in a very unfavorable place and according to the GFS it will die out to a weak storm in what is usually a very favorable place.

1719786499001.png
 
POWERSTROKE said:
Seems like a guy with initials of JB said there would be one or more hurricanes in June for first time ever back in March. Not bad whoever he is. Also said don't be surprised it hitting Texas coast
Click to expand...
I think he said cold and snowy for the east coast and se for the last 8/10 winters, and he’s nailed those!
Anyhow, does anybody think this makes Cat 5 in the next day ?
 
Good video from Carriacou. Directly in the path



 
Gonna be a late evening. Been lurking here for years and I have to thank y'all for helping me learn about canes. I moved from N. Louisiana to S. Louisiana in 2000 and became fascinated by canes in 2002 after Isidore and Lili came through within a week of each other. Now here I am 21 years later and I'm worried for my friends in Grenada.

I was in Grenada for 22 days this past Feb. and March for work. I met some great people and became good friends with several of them. The resort I worked at, which just opened in April, is probably going to be submerged. It's on the SE side of the island in La Sagesse Bay. I'm hoping for a best case scenario where the eye passes between Grenada and Carriacou. That would give them 110mph winds from the South about 12:00PM AST.

They will get a good punch, but it's better than a direct hit.
 
abizzle said:
Eye has almost completely collapsed. I doubt it can recover before hitting Grenada. They may have dodged a bullet.

View attachment 148232eee
Click to expand...
Wouldn't go off that one satellite with that huge flare up in the east side. Could just be clouded over with cirrus as that eastern semicircle goes nuts. Microwave data would be much more accurate
 
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