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Tropical Tropical Storm Arlene

Snowfan

Snowfan

When NW trend?
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This new invest was classified yesterday. According to the NHC, it has the potential to become a subtropical cyclone.
 
Looks like this could be classified, convection firing near the center and persisting

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SD said:
Looks like this could be classified, convection firing near the center and persisting

Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
It is quite interesting. If it keeps its act together, then who knows. It would be something to watch other than the relatively plain weather here except for the weekend threat.
 
Up to 50% this morning.
two_atl_5d0.png
 
Thread now located in the Tropical Weather Wiki discussions tab as well - for posterity
We need to get all new substantive threads imported to Wiki when created so none get "lost" ....
 
FWIW (and it may be to some as the season moves forward) - this graphic is from a model link I stuck in the Wiki models section - towards the bottom - under "wind"
there are different layers and they do give a good education on steering if you look at them (the 3) in conjunction with models and HC forecasts ...
just sayin' as a teachin' tool ...
 
From what I've seen about the few seasons that have had a TC or STC in April, the year 2017 having a TC in April has virtually no implications for the rest of the season. So, for people like Phil, there is no reason to get nervous about an active season just because of Arlene. It is essentially just an isolated event though interesting for sure. Much more importantly will be ENSO.

By the way, JB is having conniptions about the NHC having treated this as a TC due to the fact that it formed over 19C water and that many other storms that formed near the US over much warmer water that looked similar were not named.
 
GaWx said:
From what I've seen about the few seasons that have had a TC or STC in April, the year 2017 having a TC in April has virtually no implications for the rest of the season. So, for people like Phil, there is no reason to get nervous about an active season just because of Arlene. It is essentially just an isolated event though interesting for sure. Much more importantly will be ENSO.

By the way, JB is having conniptions about the NHC having treated this as a TC due to the fact that it formed over 19C water and that many other storms that formed near the US over much warmer water that looked similar were not named.
Click to expand...

Yeah he lost it yesterday . But I see where he finally basically gave in saying they did it for consistency


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