Tropical Tropical Storm Milton

[Brent]

No words

 

[Henry2326]

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925....HMON 936 at same point.....We saw this same thing with the first run of hurricane models for Helene. And so much agreement with GFS.....good grief

 

[kennedybb6]

925....HMON 936 at same point.....We saw this same thing with the first run of hurricane models for Helene. And so much agreement with GFS.....good gr

925....HMON 936 at same point.....We saw this same thing with the first run of hurricane models for Helene. And so much agreement with GFS.....good grief

After Florida is it coming back inland or ots

 

[BHS1975]

HAFS-A.....Wednesday morning it's 926, but by Wednesday afternoon at landfall it's 957.....I'm assuming shear.....


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Didn't they do best with Helene?


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[Henry2326]

The short term Hurricane models don't go out that far. But GFS says ots. We should have a high over the southeastern that blocks it. But we are 5 days out so have to continue to watch.

 

[Henry2326]

Didn't they do best with Helene?


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My opinion......Hwrf and Hmon were fantastic. The Hafs not so much.

 

[kennedybb6]

Is this just a Florida hit or back up east coast ? Hopefully for nothing ……

 

[Snowfan]

Is this just a Florida hit or back up east coast ? Hopefully for nothing ……

Florida hit.

 

[BHS1975]

My opinion......Hwrf and Hmon were fantastic. The Hafs not so much.

Looks like they are all showing dry air getting into the core just before landfall. Even a weak storm into Tampa Bay would be bad though.


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[Henry2326]

Hwfr......In lock step with HMON. 941 on approach, same spot, but a bit lower.
It goes from 922 on Wendesday morning to 941 at landfall.

 

[Brent]

Is this just a Florida hit or back up east coast ? Hopefully for nothing ……

It should keep going out to sea

 

[Henry2326]

Looks like they are all showing dry air getting into the core just before landfall.


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We know how that hold ups.....not

 

[Henry2326]

It should keep going out to sea

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All the short terms and GFS are north of this bundle by alot...if I'm reading th FL map correctly.

 

[lexxnchloe]

 

[Arcc]

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Honestly, I can’t believe I agree with JB, but I do. Quick hurricane moving ENE into FL is a nasty scenario.

 

[Arcc]

Looks like they are all showing dry air getting into the core just before landfall. Even a weak storm into Tampa Bay would be bad though.


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Dry air will probably not be a problem with this track and movement.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

The system is currently drifting northward.

NDBC - Station 42055 Recent Data

National Data Buoy Center - Recent observations from buoy 42055 (22.140N 94.112W) - BAY OF CAMPECHE - 214 NM NE of Veracruz, MX.

www.ndbc.noaa.gov

 

[Brent]

Dry air will probably not be a problem with this track and movement.

Yes and we've seen many times this year storms were supposed to weaken and they failed

 

[Webberweather53]

Is this going to be the storm that finally takes out Tampa? Been over a century since they've taken a direct hit.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Is this going to be the storm that finally takes out Tampa? Been over a century since they've taken a direct hit.

Has Tampa ever taken a direct hit from the West? A hurricane moving ENE across the width of the GOM is rare.