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The June Thread 2021

Going to be dry now for a long time to come after these storms die out tonight. The drought will hit in full force soon. There is not a chance that the Euro is right in bring that tropical system up. If it forms it'll go into Mexico.
 
JHS said:
Going to be dry now for a long time to come after these storms die out tonight. The drought will hit in full force soon. There is not a chance that the Euro is right in bring that tropical system up. If it forms it'll go into Mexico.
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Is there suppose to be redevelopment tonight? If not then it seems like most of the storms already fizzled.
 
JHS said:
Going to be dry now for a long time to come after these storms die out tonight. The drought will hit in full force soon. There is not a chance that the Euro is right in bring that tropical system up. If it forms it'll go into Mexico.
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If that tropical system comes up through the Carolinas that'll be a different story for sure.
 
JHS said:
Going to be dry now for a long time to come after these storms die out tonight. The drought will hit in full force soon. There is not a chance that the Euro is right in bring that tropical system up. If it forms it'll go into Mexico.
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System is coming up towards northern gulf coast by this weekend even if its a TS
 
Today's high at DFW was 99*F.

BTW, the low of 81*F was a record, breaking the previous record of 80*F set in 2008.
 
JHS said:
Going to be dry now for a long time to come after these storms die out tonight. The drought will hit in full force soon. There is not a chance that the Euro is right in bring that tropical system up. If it forms it'll go into Mexico.
Click to expand...
Although the next few days will be dry that tropical system does look to form and many of the eps have a similar trajectory going towards the southeast as well.. even without it day to day thunderstorms looks likely around that time period as well so max we would go without rain is 3-4 days give or take .. might make things a bit dry but at least relief is always in the picture and we don’t have a 384 hour dry gfs run or any model for that sake
 
LovingGulfLows said:
Isn't Chattanooga in a valley? Hot air builds and gets trapped within the valley causing hotter temperatures possibly. Atlanta is also higher elevation.
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I thought that was due to Chatt simply being only so slightly more interior portion of the US compared to ATL, so it's more subject to more temp extremes
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Although the next few days will be dry that tropical system does look to form and many of the eps have a similar trajectory going towards the southeast as well.. even without it day to day thunderstorms looks likely around that time period as well so max we would go without rain is 3-4 days give or take .. might make things a bit dry but at least relief is always in the picture and we don’t have a 384 hour dry gfs run or any model for that sake
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The GFS now says no for many of us on the tropical system. Hardly a drop for many of us through next Tuesday on it.
 
JHS said:
The GFS now says no for many of us on the tropical system. Hardly a drop for many of us through next Tuesday on it.
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The Euro and the GFS are not far off from each other at all on the "tropical" low.....both have it crossing the SE and its really to soon to buy into anything as far as coverage or rate of precip associated with it.....
 
JHS said:
The GFS now says no for many of us on the tropical system. Hardly a drop for many of us through next Tuesday on it.
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Yeah I wouldn’t look at it through the eyes of just one model run .. even gfs has it still crossing our area but it’s precip output is a little less this run .. that’s okay though remember tropical systems are like winter storms around here the models will go back and forth but if u look at the consensus of alllll the models you can clearly see most of the SE is awaiting a good soaking … at the very least it’ll kick off good storms each day it’s around .. euro was a beaut as well
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Yeah I wouldn’t look at it through the eyes of just one model run .. even gfs has it still crossing our area but it’s precip output is a little less this run .. that’s okay though remember tropical systems are like winter storms around here the models will go back and forth but if u look at the consensus of alllll the models you can clearly see most of the SE is awaiting a good soaking … at the very least it’ll kick off good storms each day it’s around .. euro was a beaut as well
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Even if it goes over his house, he only gets the subsidence off of any given tropical systems. It’s Jonesville climo, bro
 
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