Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This afternoon's Euro run really isn't that much different from the 0z EPS mean valid for roughly the same time. Sure a few details are different but it's not like this run is way out in left field.
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Pattern The Great December Dump
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
This afternoon's Euro run really isn't that much different from the 0z EPS mean valid for roughly the same time. Sure a few details are different but it's not like this run is way out in left field.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
As I mentioned yesterday, while this is far from the best pattern in the world, it's one that is certainly capable of producing in the upper south & I-40 corridor (OK/AR/TN/NC) if a few synoptic-scale bounces go your way. We really need to see a big vortex make an appearance over SE Canada to give areas down to & south of the I-20 corridor a legitimate chance.
Not a bad look at all and much better than fail boat storm this weekend. Actually can get some cold air feed there.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The 50-50 low gravy train isn't stopping any time soon. As long as we keep seeing decent troughs near or south of Atlantic Canada, any warm-ups will be short-lived and there will be more attempts at -NAO
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The EPS is about to go for the jugular to open up January. This is starting to look like the GEFS runs from earlier this week, just delayed a few-several days into early January instead of very late Dec. A nice -EPO & -NAO are developing & our vortex over the Canadian Arctic Archipelago is about to sink southward towards south-central Canada & the US. Once/if this happens things could get very interesting around here.
Woof.
Woof.
Nearly about as good as a pattern you can get around here being modeled, and ofc we got much better climo in January, like that STJ signal off cali/Baja extending into the pacific, that’s a loaded gun pattern and not the severe wx version, hopefully this holds
That's the type of setup that could bring snow from TX to the Carolinas and include many areas! Bring it!
Like that Pac ridge trending more north aswell
Mr. Golf
Member
Personally i would like to see more ridging up towards Alaska but thats just me. Also, to see the euro get the mjo out of the COD
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This is probably about when we'll see our legit -EPO develop. I'd really like to see it come to fruition and send the vortex just north of Greenland tumbling in our general direction, especially right at our peak climo for cold. It's those kinds of patterns w/ a very active STJ like we have this year that are capable of bringing non-traditional areas for snow/ice in the southern US (south of I-20) into the fold.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Oh it could get a lot better than that if we start to establish a legit -EPO and dislodge that big vortex over extreme northern Canada
BHS1975
Member
BHS1975
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I’m getting pretty close to pushing all my chips to the center of the table during the Jan 5-15 period. If we can get a nice EPO near the beginning of Jan, that TPV lobe over far northern Canada may pay us a visit near or just before the mid point of the month right during our coldest climoGefs tries. Glad I pushed my chips in
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That's money right there imo. Not frigid since the ridging doesnt quite extend to the EPO domain. Which is good with the Atlantic side slowing the flow and our coldest time climo wise I wouldn't think you'd want a huge -EPO unless you want suppression and cold and dry.
It's definitely happened before, but as nice as a time as it was, I would love to see it with a very active southern stream such as we have right now.
