GSP mentions wet snow in the convection 
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Tennessee valley/NC/Va Flizzard (16th)
- Thread starter winterwx
- Start date
CAMs look gud 
My thinking is most, if not all, or this that actually does work across the mountains is going to be rain, not snow.
I pity a fool .. almost alwaysssss these type of rates will produce snow ... people always say ehhh I think boundary layer warmmmmm ... the thing is the flakes don’t have enough time to melt cause they will be in very cold air above us.. I also checked the temps on the nam and such models and under those pockets of snow temps can crash to 34 or so respectively .. these will be snow pockets
Hopefully, rates will overcome. I doubt we will get anything falling for it to matter, anyways, haha.
It honestly looks like areas further west fare a better chance of a Convective snow shower/flurry given there’s lower dewpoints which allows more room for evaporative cooling, wet bulbs are much lower around WNC/I-77, which allows a lower temp once thats reached, also could tac on to some virga issues, but this reminds me of the flizzard I got at night on December 1st but more Convective, where I had snow/rain falling at 42 degrees, lol 
cyclogent
Member
95% Chattanooga / 100% Knoxville. This is acceptable ? modernweenie
norcarolinian
Member
Rain/sleet mix falling
Lol wtf (reflectivity) & that cape 
is it just me or does the radar look very impressive upstream. Im hoping for a few flurries if nothing else.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
This thread is so silent
HSVweather
Member
Seeing some mping reports back in northeast Arkansas and northwest TN.
It got hijacked ?
Oconeexman
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I'm hoping silently to see some flurries in the morning. Not supposed to but thats all I got this winter is a few flizzards.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Seeing convective showers on the HRRR makes me wonder if there'll be token flakes here tomorrow since those made it over the mountain on the run.
cyclogent
Member
21z HRRR cranking out several cells at ~40 dbz tomorrow morning. That intensity translates to roughly 1/2" per hour rainfall rate (or 5" per hour as snowfall rate).
Odds of any one spot getting underneath these are low, but, a 15 minute whiteout sure is fun if you get one. ?
Odds of any one spot getting underneath these are low, but, a 15 minute whiteout sure is fun if you get one. ?
Hrrr really likes the idea of snow showers for a good part of Tn/NAl/NGa tomorrow morning
Most people in the affected areas have had a couple of these events. I’ll take more flakes but I’m ready for a real storm.
Nashville radar is looking pretty good this evening