Tennessee valley/NC/Va Flizzard (16th)

[winterwx]

This is my first thread. The Chance of a Flizzard seems to be increasing! Post away!

 

[accu35]

Congrats on your first thread. Welcome to the board

 

[EmersonGA]

Need Southeast Ridge Dan here to question the actual footprint of the TN valley relative to the coverage of this flizzard.

 

[olhausen]

I’ve been paying attention to this one all week. Local forecast calls for minor accumulating snow across the eastern plateau and normal higher elevation hot spots for snow. Definitely looks like at a minimum snow will be flying through the air this weekend. Hopefully some in middle Tennessee can pick up some accumulations.

GFS

NAM

 

[cd2play]

I’ve been paying attention to this one all week. Local forecast calls for minor accumulating snow across the eastern plateau and normal higher elevation hot spots for snow. Definitely looks like at a minimum snow will be flying through the air this weekend. Hopefully some in middle Tennessee can pick up some accumulations.

GFS
View attachment 65715
NAM
View attachment 65716

Middle TN has been known to get surprise 1-2 inch events with systems like this.

 

[Ollie Williams]

You should change this to include some of northern NC because you know @Myfrotho704_ will be staying up to track this.

 

[EmersonGA]

Is this a Saturday event? I've got to be in Jasper for work on Saturday so a quick ride up Burnt Mountain might be in order if so.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Isolated Convective snow squalls on the 3km

 

[Myfrotho704_]

TN is gonna do well with this event given the occluding system basically in there backyard

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Check check check and check

 

[olhausen]

Middle TN has been known to get surprise 1-2 inch events with systems like this.

Yes especially on the highland rim with a little elevation. Not surprising that they are going with lower totals as it’s usually the most likely outcome. Hopefully this one can over perform and maybe give someone in middle Tennessee an inch or two. Wishful thinking?...Probably ?

 

[J.C.]

A thread that isn't about central and eastern North Carolina, what is going on in here?

18z HRRR shows a decent coverage.

 

[John1122]

Not a bad run of the GFS at all. MRX mentions steep lapse rates and convective bands. Get under those and you'll get a 15-20 minute whiteout.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

@SD

 

[SD]

@SD View attachment 65755

Guess ima have to start looking into this one. That's probably more enthusiastic than the Christmas depiction on the gfs

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Guess ima have to start looking into this one. That's probably more enthusiastic than the Christmas depiction on the gfs

GFS didn’t even have much of anything on Christmas, I remember several runs with nada

 

[SD]

Pinned this thread. Going to update the the title to include Carolinas and va

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Pinned this thread. Going to update the the title to include Carolinas and va

Don't forget Indiana ?

 

[SD]

These snow showers moving through TN look like fun

 

[ForsythSnow]

At this point this is an upper SE flizzard fest. Even gives a shot for GA to some degree.