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Pattern Sweatember '22

Always a good read! 65603F5F-6A06-44DC-8CB9-F207959BA422.png
 
EmersonGA said:
58.6. Great way to start meteorological fall.
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Agreed. It is supposed to be hot today but this morning was very nice, lower temps, tolerable humidity level and a healthy breeze with a nice blue sky. Really the first hint of Fall coming and right on cue with the start of met Fall. I love this this time of year with football, Fall, and festivals and holidays ahead! ?
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
Agreed. It is supposed to be hot today but this morning was very nice, lower temps, tolerable humidity level and a healthy breeze with a nice blue sky. Really the first hint of Fall coming and right on cue with the start of met Fall. I love this this time of year with football, Fall, and festivals and holidays ahead! ?
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I’ve noticed the shade has been quite pleasant even in the heat of the day. That’s where you can feel the low humidity.
 
EmersonGA said:
I’ve noticed the shade has been quite pleasant even in the heat of the day. That’s where you can feel the low humidity.
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Apparently the lower humidity never made it to about the eastern and southern half of GA. Low to Mid 70s dewpoints prevail.
 
EmersonGA said:
I’ve noticed the shade has been quite pleasant even in the heat of the day. That’s where you can feel the low humidity.
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Absolutely and those afternoon shadows are beginning to get a little longer as the sun angle starts to lower. Doing some work out in my shaded front yard this morning and it actually feels very good.
 
Chazwin said:
Yes and the GFS seems to be trending towards that idea compared to where it was a couple days ago
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Let's hope that's where we are headed. I know some local areas have done well with rain this summer but there hasn't been anything widespread for a long time and the general theme at least for most of nc was below normal precip for jja
 
I’m coming down next week! This looks about right! Jimmy, holla at ya boy! C4FD3B9B-8CF7-487B-B425-FB656C5BD182.png
 
Michael_Ballew said:
I wished we'd get a noticeably cooler change in temps but that is just a dream. Every year it stays hot on through October. CPC shows above average temperatures on through November. They show the same thing almost every year. Frost seems to be coming later each year also.

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To be fair the average high here is 82 or so on September 15th so it’s not like September is supposed to be a cool month. Usually get that first cooler front in late September and then one last heat wave going into the first week or so in October. I do remember October 2019 starting off as a scorcher though!
 
olhausen said:
To be fair the average high here is 82 or so on September 15th so it’s not like September is supposed to be a cool month. Usually get that first cooler front in late September and then one last heat wave going into the first week or so in October. I do remember October 2019 starting off as a scorcher though!
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When I was growing up we always got the first good cold front sometime between September 15 and 30 every year.
 
I mean we didn't totally lose rain chances Monday Tuesday Wednesday are ok. After that you could make up a hand full of scenarios around the trough/phase in the north east and the ultimate cutoff to the west ends up. I mean its not impossible we get wedged in here with highs in the 60s/70s or have low 90s highs with full sun so there is a wide range
 
GFS has a long stretch of 100°+ days in the Dakotas and Minnesota. Just insanity. Most of us in the muggy soup of Augtember.


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September does look like the 3rd driest month, but that's like calling the Chattahoochee the third driest river, all months are relatively close in numbers. I want to know how the NOAA calculates the new normals, because they openly admit they throw some -------- in there. When I calculated Atlanta's new July average, it was 89.5F for 1990-2020. I can't remember what I calculated for January, 53. something.

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