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Pattern Sweatember '22

SWVAwxfan said:
Not exactly true. 40s in September never happened regularly in the deep south. Maybe the upper south and in the mountains. 50 happened from time to time.
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I remember around the year 2000 it was down in the '30s in North Georgia in September... That was rare for sure.
 
Snowlover87 said:
I'm pretty sure upper 40s occur regularly every September in some locations of the deep south, especially areas maybe with a little higher elevation perhaps.
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UMMMM no..... maybe the tops of the peaks of the far NE GA mountains. We ate talking about places where people actually live.
 
SWVAwxfan said:
UMMMM no..... maybe the tops of the peaks of the far NE GA mountains. We ate talking about places where people actually live.
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Actually he isn’t wrong . Mean September minimum for Raleigh is 49, Atlanta outside of its UHI should be similar or even colder . A low in the upper 40s is pretty normal for September .
 
I'll join in here with some data. I chose Carrollton for no particular reason ??. Carrollton is not in the mountains, but around similar elevation to Atlanta. The years I'm looking at are 2012-2021, warmer years if we are really being honest.

Years that hit the 40s in September as follows:

Carrollton - West metro Atlanta 1102'

2021
2022
2017
2012

4/10

Dallas, GA - Also west metro Atlanta 1043'

2021
2020
2018
2016
2015
2012

6/10

Blairsville, GA - Far north Georgia 1893'
*We are going to do 30s for Blairsville instead of 40s

2021
2020
2016
2015
2012

5/10

Based on all of this I would say 40s is pretty common occurrence in September in the piedmont, and 30s in the mountains.
 
J.C. said:
I'll join in here with some data. I chose Carrollton for no particular reason ??. Carrollton is not in the mountains, but around similar elevation to Atlanta. The years I'm looking at are 2011-2021, warmer years if we are really being honest.

Years that hit the 40s in September as follows:

Carrollton - West metro Atlanta 1102'

2021
2022
2017
2012

4/10

Dallas, GA - Also west metro Atlanta 1043'

2021
2020
2018
2016
2015
2012

6/10

Blairsville, GA - Far north Georgia 1893'
*We are going to do 30s for Blairsville instead of 40s

2021
2020
2016
2015
2012

5/10

Based on all of this I would say 40s is pretty common occurrence in September in the piedmont, and 30s in the mountains.
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Thanks Larry
 
SWVAwxfan said:
Not exactly true. 40s in September never happened regularly in the deep south. Maybe the upper south and in the mountains. 50 happened from time to time.
Click to expand...
I disagree. I've experienced 40s many times over where I live in September the last 40 years and im not in the mountains. Just got down to 46 the other morning. Doesn't happen every September but ive seen it in the 40s on several occasions around here in September.
 
LATEST Total qpf forecast for NC this week. CAVEAT Im looking through Triad goggles.
GFS,Can,Ukmet 2-4,
Euro 1-3
See how it trends. Big CAD, Cold Rain a solid bet. Have the soup/chilli handy.
 
Wow, I managed to squeeze out a little of that goodness last night too. Not much, but i'll take .2" and be happy.
 
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