Pattern Swamptember 2021

[LickWx]

Let’s do this a couple more times please and thanks. View attachment 91350

No . Give me hurricane

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I’ll take a EPS cooler solution with this before however.. ?

 

[wxdaniel]

Was 47 this AM. Had to turn on the heat in the car on the way to work! ?

Don't be a wimp.

 

[wxdaniel]

Let’s do this a couple more times please and thanks. View attachment 91350

Nice blocking! But it was like this last year at this time...

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Using the CFS ? Down bad I see

How could I be down bad with the weather nice and chilly right now??

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Let’s do this a couple more times please and thanks. View attachment 91350

Awh just a young boy trying his very hardest to keep his pool opened in his mind

 

[Myfrotho704_]

How could I be down bad with the weather nice and chilly right now??

Well using the CFS that far out is pretty bad lol

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Awh just a young boy trying his very hardest to keep his pool opened in his mind

Still is I checked this am and not expected to close till the first week of October

 

[SD]

I’m not talking about this past summer, I’m talking about the last several days, many models were to low, rah hit 90 days ago when models had mid 80s and I was getting called a weenie for saying 90 was possible, not saying it’s gonna hit 90 but I’m just saying, it may get pretty warm again if we don’t trap lower heights on us.

It's hard to trust the gfs in the D5+ at 2m Remember the runs that were 100+ here for last week? I think it does ok inside of D5 but it just gets stupid in the longer range

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Well using the CFS that far out is pretty bad lol

I’m not “using” it .. it’s just fun to look at .. also throw back to the last time I brought up the CFS and it showed the late September cool down .. I wonder if that came to fruition ?? oh wait I’m wearing a sweatshirt outside right now

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I’m not “using” it .. it’s just fun to look at .. also throw back to the last time I brought up the CFS and it showed the late September cool down .. I wonder if that came to fruition ?? oh wait I’m wearing a sweatshirt outside right now

Blind weenie finds a weak cool shot once in a while

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

High and low temps on long range Gfs for that wonky time period with the big trough and some tropical disturbance mixing in which will give us lots of scenarios at this point .. here’s one of them where the tropical influence helps pull the trough down and bring us the coldest high pressure we’ve seen yet .. probably won’t happen like this but we’re getting to the time of year where things like this are a possibility

 

[SD]

I wouldn't touch a forecast past D5 right now. That period is so volatile with the upper low and ridge.

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

Well I don't know what it will be like next week but, MAN, what a beautiful day today! 48.9 this am, absolutely GORGEOUS out there; about as perfect as one could wish for 9/23! LOVE IT! ? ?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I wouldn't touch a forecast past D5 right now. That period is so volatile with the upper low and ridge.

Yeah agreed it’s just exciting to watch the models pick out different scenarios

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I wouldn't touch a forecast past D5 right now. That period is so volatile with the upper low and ridge.

We ridge

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Feels amazing outside

 

[iGRXY]

Just cut the grass and not a drop of sweat. Sitting in the shade feels fantastic.

 

[SD]

We ridge

It's certainly possible I bet we split the difference and get a low over the NE or just offshore of the NE. Gotta think the euro is too far SW and the gfs is too progressive

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It's certainly possible I bet we split the difference and get a low over the NE or just offshore of the NE. Gotta think the euro is too far SW and the gfs is too progressive

Icon is sorta in between