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Pattern Swamptember 2021

NAM is more sold on a isolated threat for tornadoes, really don’t know what the SPC is doing lol 9ECB54F0-B961-4216-B3D6-6B687EE2209A.png2492A766-B3C2-4EEF-8237-6DF29F1A7588.png7EDC3087-753B-4679-9CA5-915E30780AA2.png
 
I’m really worried the flash flooding scenario isn’t getting enough attention .. certainly seems as if this fire house is going to be doing a lot of training over the same places .. let’s see how heavy the rain can get in the afternoon and that’ll really determine how bad flash flooding gets over central NC
 
The temperature and dew point drop is incredible .. 10-13 degrees drop in an hour in like places .. this will be a situation where the high temp occurs at midnight at in the 70s but then you wake up and it’s in the 50s and upper 40s for some in western NC Thursday morning EBB40CA5-DCE2-461C-8EC6-AEB4AC200371.jpeg96030F1A-E221-4316-986A-61E0FB4A6153.jpeg
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Yep no shot in over preforming totals right ?
Click to expand...

You can't go wrong when you see this
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We've also started to see some modest ML cape over the area so we should start setting more convective elements to the band in our area. I doubt we see anything crazy like 2-3-4 inch totals in my area or yours through dark but the vort max near CHS becomes a wild card tonight.

I'm up to 75/75 so low level moisture is really increasing
 
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