NWMSGuy
Member
Are there currently subtle differences between the GFS & EURO regarding this system?
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Severe Severe Weather Threat April 2-3
- Thread starter Webberweather53
- Start date
They are pretty similar. The Euro is slightly stronger and farther NW with the sfc low. It looks like they might be handing the potential gulf coast convection differently.
12z NAM just jumped in with both feet for Ga
Storm5
Member
GeorgiaGirl
Member
The GFS has looked pretty nasty Alabama west lately when I've looked.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
SPC going w/ an expansive day 2 MDT across the northwestern Gulf coast. This probably won't bust like the TN valley D2 MDT this past week given favorable large-scale forcing and the trough's amplitude and proximity to the GOM. While upscale growth will be a concern wrt tornadoes, and this trough will shear out considerably as it gets further east, the wind threat is liable to remain relatively high as this nears the MS valley...
SimeonNC
Member
The Weather Channel has a torcon of 6 for SE Texas/Western LA tomorrow and a torcon of 5 for Southern GA/North FL for Monday. They also mentioned that those numbers might still be raised as the day goes on. This looks to be a big one
Storm5
Member
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Looks nasty potentially for a good bit of the SE
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Not looking good at all.
I also haven't seen an effective layer STP sounding so high in Georgia. This one is over Cobb county.
I also haven't seen an effective layer STP sounding so high in Georgia. This one is over Cobb county.
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pcbjr
Member
Holy cow ...
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
May need another thread for mid-late next week, Euro is going ballistic w/ 4000-5000 j/kg CAPE over SE MS
CoreyTheSecond
Member
I live in Atlanta and this one has me a little worried. Nothing too worrisome yet though. Hopefully things won't trend for the worse.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Yeah, by the looks of things though, that should be the last one for a little while, but still, that is some strong energy.
Storm5
Member
Fire it up your having good luck . Yeah that one keeps trending more and more towards a nice event . Gfs isn't as aggressive as the euro but it's no doubt a period to watch
Edit : 12z gfs
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Storm5
Member
Not looking good at all.
I also haven't seen an effective layer STP sounding so high in Georgia. This one is over Cobb county.
Gonna have to watch and see , as shane pointed out forcing looks like it's gonna push everything linear which would help keep things from getting out of hand
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RollTide18
Member
Kind of worried about this one
That is called shredded updrafts.Not looking good at all.
I also haven't seen an effective layer STP sounding so high in Georgia. This one is over Cobb county.