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Severe Severe weather threat (2/15 - 2/17)

Had several rounds of thunderstorms tonight in Goose Creek... amazingly, there were 2 offshore long lived supercells that had 34k to 38k couplets, large hail detected on VIL. This is actually the 4th thunderstorm day this MONTH here locally. We had thunderstorms on Saturday locked at 39...
 
NAM and GFS backed off a bit on Severe here don’t know if we can recover fast enough
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
That thing had to be a sig tor at one point View attachment 75422View attachment 75423
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HSVweather said:
:(
www.waff.com

3 dead, 10 injured as North Carolina tornado levels homes

Officials say the tornado hit just after midnight Tuesday in southeastern Brunswick County, destroying homes, downing powerlines and snapping trees in half.
www.waff.com
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My Mom was 4 miles south from this thing (she lives right at the intracoastal waterway) and just texted she was okay. The Ocean Ridge neighborhood where I think this hit is a newish development of well built homes. I'm very surprised at the damage seen so far. Will probably look even more significant at daylight.
 
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Just found this. Treetops taken out. These trees survived
Isiais a few months back. (and a close call w/Florence a few years previously)
 
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Um so, somehow I slept through the tornado last night near me because I'm on vacation at North Myrtle Beach!! We are staying 14.5 miles from where it hit.. Phones didn't adapt to the few warnings that were issued. My mom was up and said it was a voracious sounding thunderstorm but that was all. I feel terrible for the families that have losses. Never thought I'd be at the beach and be around severe tornado weather!
 
gaikkeb said:
Um so, somehow I slept through the tornado last night near me because I'm on vacation at North Myrtle Beach!! We are staying 14.5 miles from where it hit.. Phones didn't adapt to the few warnings that were issued. My mom was up and said it was a voracious sounding thunderstorm but that was all. I feel terrible for the families that have losses. Never thought I'd be at the beach and be around severe tornado weather!
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You were probably close to the cell that caused it.

Just talked to my mom down there (who is 4 miles south of path). Said the storm was bad at her house, but didn't seem much worse than usual. She got a warning alert on the phone, but it was right during or just after the worst of it. The phone alert may not have been in time for those in the path.
 
Is there a way I can see the radar during that time? I have radarscope (the base app) but I don't know where to find older radar scans. We determined that we weren't as close as we thought but close enough to make the hair on my neck crawl especially since we really didn't have a good place to shelter in, our vacation spot is on stilts! Last night we were out and it felt weirdly warm and it was foggy, very creepy feeling.
 
gaikkeb said:
Is there a way I can see the radar during that time? I have radarscope (the base app) but I don't know where to find older radar scans. We determined that we weren't as close as we thought but close enough to make the hair on my neck crawl especially since we really didn't have a good place to shelter in, our vacation spot is on stilts! Last night we were out and it felt weirdly warm and it was foggy, very creepy feeling.
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There's a way I'm sure, but I don't know how. (Hoping someone else can help you though) All I've seen so far are still radar images from after it crossed the state line.
 
Can't get snow but we can get tornadoes in winter in NC. Our climate is screwed up.
 
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Pgv is about 1.5 inches behind our wettest year to date NOT INCLUDING the overnight rainfall so when that updates I suspect we will be very close to our wettest year to date. Add what's coming end of this week and i suspect we either overtake it or get real close.
 
Brunswick County tornado got upgrade to 165mph EF3 yesterday making it the strongest NC tornado since an F4 in 1998. Still not final as far as I can tell. EF4 probably not likely but may not be out of the question.

"Continuing northeastward, the tornado crossed Saw Pit Swamp and entered the Ocean Ridge Plantation community. Here the tornado became exceptionally powerful as it damaged or destroyed a large number of well-built brick homes. Wind speeds of at least 165 mph are inferred to have occurred as several homes suffered complete destruction of all walls. Debris from one home was swept completely clear of the foundation. Multiple fatalities and injuries occurred."

 
Damn that South Georgia temp gradient. 72/66 is pretty ripe for cold szn svr
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Latest model forecast data show a high amplitude trough of low
pressure moving across the central CONUS and toward the east coast
today with strong jet level winds. While trough steepness decreases
toward the coast, plenty of strong dynamics (low level speed shear,
vort maxes, etc.) associated with height falls will bring chances
for thunderstorm development with a possible development of a
tornado, especially near the coast sometime this evening.
 
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