• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Severe Severe Weather February 16th -18 2022

LukeBarrette said:
The other two to left are absolute junk right now. The rotation you’re seeing with those is wayyyyy up there in the clouds.
Click to expand...
Yeah there's going to be a lot of rotation today with the mesos associated with any discrete/semi discreet cells. I'm not sure how much these can be tightened and rooted to the sfc before the rfd/ofb punches fwd and chokes off the inflow to restart the cycle.
 
These cells need to be watched as they head northeast I think these are the ones the HRRR showed making some decent headway before they becoming a squall line tonight. Screenshot_20220217-132003.png
 
Engeo said:
Storm mode looks very messy
Click to expand...
Yeah even my earlier thoughts might be too aggressive. A couple tornados maybe. 1 could be strong if it can get away from other convection. If not you’re just going to have messy storms that has some rotation but like SD says outflow will cut off the chance for them to make it to the ground. The much more concerning threat would be for damaging straight line winds today. An average severe day.
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Yeah even my earlier thoughts might be too aggressive. A couple tornados maybe. 1 could be strong if it can get away from other convection. If not you’re just going to have messy storms that has some rotation but like SD says outflow will cut off the chance for them to make it to the ground. The much more concerning threat would be for damaging straight line winds today. An average severe day.
Click to expand...
Yeah I don't think the wind threat is being stressed enough 60-80kt at 850 with some slight inverted V profiles could easily work down some 60-80mph gusts here
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top