Myfrotho704_
Member
NAM shows a meso low like feature to with enhanced shear and helicity, that’s definitely catching my attention
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Severe Severe weather 3/30-4/1 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
And at 12-1 am.... hmmm
Myfrotho704_
Member
I bet it’s to slow, But even the HRRR has that feature, look for a trend towards a QLCS in the future with that area of enhanced low level shear and helicity, might be a slight added tonight
Long range HRRR showing what models will end up trending towards kind of already show .. more crapvection and quicker timing .. still doesn’t get here at a good time and there too much clouds and rain before .. heavy rain event then significant cold snap behind
Cold Wrather Fan
Member
Myfrotho704_
Member
Hrrr is just junk, nextttt
NoSnowATL
Member
Yea looks like we take a breather for a few weeks.
Brick Tamland
Member
Whatever happens will happen. Can't depend on the models for much these days.
Whatever happens is pre-determined virtually entirely, but models aren't smart enough to tell us and thus us humans can't possibly know.
Jessy89
Member
I think timing and rather or not we get sun shine will play a role. In severe weather like for instance that line Sunday I had heavy rain a little thunder lightning. But Greenwood got the line later and had straight line wind damage trees and power lines down. 2-8pm will be the time to watch for isolated severe storms I believe
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Hello? Anybody here?
Shaggy
Member
Hrrr keeping mostly a solid line through the state. Could still be something decent.
NoSnowJoe
Member
From NWS PTC
We are getting numerous reports of roads covered in water in portions of northwest GA. Recent heavy rains mean that it is very difficult for soils to take in water, so a lot of it is running off into rivers, creeks, and streams. Please, Turn Around Don't Drown! #gawx
We are getting numerous reports of roads covered in water in portions of northwest GA. Recent heavy rains mean that it is very difficult for soils to take in water, so a lot of it is running off into rivers, creeks, and streams. Please, Turn Around Don't Drown! #gawx
NAM gives us a bit more fuel for the fire ... really will just be a nowcasting thing here .. if we can manage some sun maybe we can get some good elevated thunderstorms 
Still cloudy here with a cool breeze. Not very muggy outside either. The rain/storms looks to be moving faster than modeled.NAM gives us a bit more fuel for the fire ... really will just be a nowcasting thing here .. if we can manage some sun maybe we can get some good elevated thunderstorms
Myfrotho704_
Member
If there’s sun they wouldn’t be elevated, they would be surface basedNAM gives us a bit more fuel for the fire ... really will just be a nowcasting thing here .. if we can manage some sun maybe we can get some good elevated thunderstorms
Myfrotho704_
Member
Shaggy
Member
We need this rain to knock down the yellow haze outside. Can literally see plumes of yellow blowing out of any pine stands today. Its horrible.
Myfrotho704_
Member
Might get some random tornado warnings later, lots of low level cape for stretching later even with weak low level shear
Where at? What area are you watching?
Myfrotho704_
Member
Much of the marginal and slight risk area, typically when you have low level cape, and even small amounts of low level shear/helicity, you can get low topped thunderstorms with rotation/wind
Do you think the tornado threat is big today? I live on the southern edge of upstate sc and I'm getting a bit nervous.
It's 2%... very marginal at best. No need to get nervous, today is pretty tame compared to other's in the past.
Myfrotho704_
Member
Nope not a big threat at all
HugeSnowStick
Member
Temps are already dropping in ATL METRO, too cool for severe....
NoSnowATL
Member
I think the 2011 outbreak had temps in the mid to upper 50s. Definitely different set up tho.
mbway091
Member
A little rotation? Passed directly over my place a few mins ago. Very gusty downpour. Maybe too broad to actually indicate anything, I'm certainly no radar expert.