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Severe Severe Weather 2/3-2/4

Still some decent updraft swaths in a favorable environment. Storm mode may inhibit tornado potential a good bit today. HRRRSE_con_uphlysw_018.png
 
Latest HRRR run. A bit more broken convection this run. Probably the most concerning run for this event yet. HRRRSE_con_uphlysw_018 (1).pngHRRRSE_prec_radar_009 (2).pngHRRRSE_prec_radar_008 (2).pngHRRRSE_prec_radar_009 (1).pngHRRRSE_prec_radar_011.png
 
We likely need a enchanced risk by mid afternoon. Wouldn't be surprised for one to be issued in the corridor where the slight risk is right now.
 
Pressing almost to 2000j of sb cape as far north as Tuscaloosa county by 12 oclock on top of a wide swath of 350+ SRH helicity at 3km. Which should increase the further we get into the afternoon. HRRRSE_con_sbcape_006.png
 
Bro. 70° dew points almost halfway up the state. Lapse rates have gone up almost 6.5+ in each cat. Very nice hodo. sfctd.us_se (1).pnghrrr_2022020313_007_32.2--87.57.png
 
Was looking at this one several days ago, pretty textbook winter setup w/ sharp cold front and nice warm sector. Should be noted (saw a tweet can't find it again) that best hodos and best CAPE don't really overlap. Also, heres a sounding from Jackson.FKriz6aVUAcHYKk.jpg
 
jackendrickwx said:
Was looking at this one several days ago, pretty textbook winter setup w/ sharp cold front and nice warm sector. Should be noted (saw a tweet can't find it again) that best hodos and best CAPE don't really overlap. Also, heres a sounding from Jackson.View attachment 112559
Click to expand...
There pretty close to overlapping. That Tuscaloosa area seems to be a very good sweet spot.
 
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