Severe Severe Threat 3/31-4/3

[Turd Ferguson]

WRAL saying the main threat here in the Triangle will be between 9 AM and 2 PM tomorrow, and most of the rain should be out of here by then.

 

[weatherfide]

18Z 3K NAM has almost no surface based CAPE at my location during the event.

 

[jrips27]

18Z 3K NAM has almost no surface based CAPE at my location during the event.

Yeah if that verifies this won’t be much of an issue

 

[weatherfide]

Yeah if that verifies this won’t be much of an issue

Certainly wouldn't warrant a hatched enhanced risk, in my opinion. This will be the second time this year that SPC got it way wrong in my area, if it verifies. To be honest, most of the model guidance, once again, were predicting a weaker environment for severe storms. I mean, the surface low is in Michigan. That's usually an Ohio Valley threat.

 

[Snow_chaser]

According to my Weather station at my house in West Paulding County its 79 and jumped up 8 degrees in 2 and half hours

Sounds right, I’m seeing 81° in Dallas and sun is poking out

 

[jrips27]

Certainly wouldn't warrant a hatched enhanced risk, in my opinion. This will be the second time this year that SPC got it way wrong in my area, if it verifies. To be honest, most of the model guidance, once again, were predicting a weaker environment for severe storms. I mean, the surface low is in Michigan. That's usually an Ohio Valley threat.

On cue the HRRR at 19z goes back to much more cape and higher tornado ingredients love model watching. We will see how it plays out

 

[Snowfan]

 

[jrips27]

First wording I’ve seen so far from FFC that mentions strong tornadoes

 

[Snow_chaser]

Anyone in north Georgia confirm whether what’s showing on radar is reaching ground? Maybe early shower could help stabilize things alittle?

 

[SASQUATCH]

I think they are waiting on a possible secondary MCS to develop over Central Miss/AL for possible action to the East. It's just a possibility, however.

 

[SnowwxAtl]

I think...and I said I think now...this is going to be a bust for GA! This storm does strike me as the one!

 

[MamaJen]

Anyone in north Georgia confirm whether what’s showing on radar is reaching ground? Maybe early shower could help stabilize things alittle?

I live in southeastern Bartow County and radar currently shows showers over me. But I haven’t seen so much as a sprinkle, and in fact there is sunshine peeking out of the clouds at the moment. I’ll admit, the periodic sunshine we’ve seen this afternoon has me concerned about later tonight.

 

[SENC]

Lexington, KY abit ago..

 

[jrips27]

I think...and I said I think now...this is going to be a bust for GA! This storm does strike me as the one!

Way too early for this man. Let's check back around 10-11pm. Just takes a couple of storms to get going and this was always going to be an after dark threat

 

[SnowwxAtl]

Way too early for this man. Let's check back around 10-11pm. Just takes a couple of storms to get going and this was always going to be an after dark threat

Gotcha JRIPS27, that is why I said I think...I am probably wrong but like you said, we will check back around 10p tonight.

 

[jrips27]

Confirmed tornado NW of Knoxville

 

[jrips27]

 

[weatherfide]

Getting active! Let's see how it plays out. Looks like a storm with rotation in northern Alabama around Muscle Shoals.

 

[Brent]

Near Louisville

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

I hope this tornado outbreak isn’t as bad as the one that happened exactly 50 years ago on April 3. 1974.