Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0252 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019
Valid 132000Z - 141200Z
...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM FAR EASTERN
TEXAS...THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA...AND INTO CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...
...SUMMARY...
Numerous to widespread severe thunderstorms are expected across
parts of the south-central to southeast states through tonight. The
most likely region for strong tornadoes is from east Texas to
Mississippi, with the most dangerous period for tornadoes through 8
PM CDT.
...Discussion...
The only changes made to the previous outlook include the following:
1) Removal and eastward adjustment of probabilities over eastern TX
coincident with the evolving squall line.
2) Lowering severe probabilities over central AR and removal of
probabilities over southeastern OK where cool/stable air will likely
inhibit the risk for a strong gust or marginally severe hail.
3) A small westward extension of 5-percent hail/wind probabilities
in western NC.
