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WeatherLC
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Hopefully I don't jinx it but I thought I would start a new thread for the weekend storm threat. Will be interesting to see if the 0z runs keep the trend going.
if it's not good for the CAD areas and thread fails Gainesville will be banned from ever starting another thread lolSnowFlowXXL link said:oh snap! first southernwx storm thread! Lets hope its good!
if it's not good for the CAD areas and thread fails Gainesville will be banned from ever starting another thread lolStorm5 link said:[quote author=SnowFlowXXL link=topic=46.msg1621#msg1621 date=1481588611]
oh snap! first southernwx storm thread! Lets hope its good!
Models 9 out of 10 times under estimate the strength and duration of wedges in the CAD areas, early start time can lock in even an in-situ CAD. I mean a difference of 1-2 degrees, can have huge ramifications!GainesvilleWX link said:To me this looks like a hybrid damming situation at best. The GFS is only showing about 6 hours of ZR duration before the high moves off shore. Also the precip does not look to be all that heavy, so I have to wonder if we would be able to truely tap the wetbulb potential? Please correct me if I am wrong, I'm learning.
GainesvilleWX link said:To me this looks like a hybrid damming situation at best. The GFS is only showing about 6 hours of ZR duration before the high moves off shore. Also the precip does not look to be all that heavy, so I have to wonder if we would be able to truely tap the wetbulb potential? Please correct me if I am wrong, I'm learning.
Doesn't the GFS typically have a bias for under doing QPF though?Starburst link said:Looking over the 18z GFS's ensemble member thickness & moisture profiles, there does not seem to be much support for precipitation arriving earlier or in larger amounts before the temps warm up.
Doesn't the GFS typically have a bias for under doing QPF though?GainesvilleWX link said:[quote author=Starburst link=topic=46.msg1637#msg1637 date=1481592324]
Looking over the 18z GFS's ensemble member thickness & moisture profiles, there does not seem to be much support for precipitation arriving earlier or in larger amounts before the temps warm up.
of course it is. could have a large impact area that impacts members of the board regardless if it's just a few hours or notSoutheastRidge link said:I don't mean to be a party pooper, but I don't know if this little "event" is even worthy of its own thread.
That's a pretty stout HP at 1044 in Iowa, growing to 1046 in NE MO - why is the cold air so delayed?Storm5 link said:00z gfs is way late with the precip . very little if any frozen precip
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