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Presidential Election 2024
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GolfishardIknowit70
Member
I think if Trump can somehow win California, then it's game, set, and match for him. Obviously it's the state with the most electoral votes and I heard he was making traction there now
There is no reality in which that happens.
They (Selzer) are a spectacularly awful pollster...
JHS
Member
We are not going to know until the weekend who wins. That favors Harris
severestorm
Member
GolfishardIknowit70
Member
I will be honest, but I'm surprised it's even close and he should be running circles over kamala imo. What he wants and what she wants are totally different. He, by far, is the best of two evils imo.
Shaggy
Member
It really is this simple
Interesting because she's a world-renowned pollster, calling for the broader swings to Trump in 2016 and 2020. But, now she's awful? Ok.
Ann Selzer Is The Best Pollster In Politics
An old “PBS NewsHour” clip, in all its dull, steady glory, pretty much pinpoints the moment that famed Iowa pollster Ann Selzer got hot. Shot on New Year’s Day …
fivethirtyeight.com
Traditionally she has been a good pollster. But.. I would expect Iowa and Ohio to swing together and Ohio is definitely not swinging that same direction.Interesting because she's a world-renowned pollster, calling for the broader swings to Trump in 2016 and 2020. But, now she's awful? Ok.
Ann Selzer Is The Best Pollster In Politics
An old “PBS NewsHour” clip, in all its dull, steady glory, pretty much pinpoints the moment that famed Iowa pollster Ann Selzer got hot. Shot on New Year’s Day …
View attachment 153766
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Agree. Ohio and Iowa will both go Trump, likely by a comfortable margin. But this poll, combined with some others out of Kansas and Ohio do show the trouble Republicans face due to women voters. The abortion issue is real. I'm hoping for a Kamala win on Tuesday but wouldn't be surprised in a landslide either direction (310+ in the electoral college).
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
I think it is more likely than not that it is an "electoral landslide" one way or the other. The margins are so close in all the swing states.
Ryno23
Member
Actually the most she has missed by was 5 points 2018 Iowa gov race.
2022 Senate: R+12 (R+12)
2020 President: R+7 (R+8)
2020 Senate: R+4 (R+7)
2018 Governor: D+2 (R+3)
2016 President: R+7 (R+9)
2014 Senate: R+7 (R+8)
2012 President: D+5 (D+6)
JHS
Member
I am hoping for a split Congress no matter who wins, especially Trump. Trump basically wants to do away with all govt and would apparently put Elon Musk, Robert Kennedy Jr., and worst of all Ron Paul into the cabinet. Say so long to food safety, clean air, and clean water among many other things. The FBI, NWS, ATF, and FDA among many other things would be gone. He could not do much of this without all of Congress.
Harris wants to go too far the other way so I'm hoping a Republican Senate could reign her in some if she wins.
Harris wants to go too far the other way so I'm hoping a Republican Senate could reign her in some if she wins.
GoDuke
Member
Talk of taking days to know the winner in 2024 is absolutely absurd. Makes no sense votes can't be counted day of election, we're only nation with this issue
Raiders of the Lost Ark Harrison Ford would definitely vote Trump. Dial of Destiny Harrison Ford is obviously a Harris supporter.