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Severe POSS SEVERE WEATHER STARTING 05-17-2019 and BEYOND

Haha on Friday, when the best wind energy arrives, storms become more elevated based of the NAM and......
194848AE-A58C-4547-9098-E1D38DADAAAC.jpegC26DB818-F07B-40B6-B09A-9E84BE2FD267.pngThere’s some VBV in the mix ! 7A1A1A5A-DE76-4FD8-807A-A4BE3D1C72CE.png
 
There will still likely be a few/some tornadoes with this setup, some are already trying to say a 5-26-16 repeat ?
 
This is not looking good for the Tornado Alley folks in TX, OK, KS, and NE.
 
Looks like tuesday the Tennessee valley might get hit hard. It sure looks like a active period coming up. Sounding from west Tennessee below a little VBV winds but the hodo is sure eye catching. Decent EML. Like to wait and see how close range models show things though. 2019051606_GFS_138_35.39,-90.75_severe_ml.png
 
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How do things look for today?

RAH Discussion not terribly impressed.

The feature will likely
weaken considerably toward daybreak but the air mass across VA
and NC will destabilize during the day which could allow the
feature to hold together to some degree or potentially
regenerate during the afternoon. At this point, confidence is
low in the evolution of the feature but given current radar
trends, have opted to raise and expand pops to support isolated
to scattered showers or thunderstorms.
 
RAH Discussion not terribly impressed.

The feature will likely
weaken considerably toward daybreak but the air mass across VA
and NC will destabilize during the day which could allow the
feature to hold together to some degree or potentially
regenerate during the afternoon. At this point, confidence is
low in the evolution of the feature but given current radar
trends, have opted to raise and expand pops to support isolated
to scattered showers or thunderstorms.

Well, after Monday's storms, it still pays to pay attention.
 
Nice supercell structure with this tornado warned storm on the KS/NE state line Screenshot_20190517-171941_RadarScope.jpgScreenshot_20190517-171949_RadarScope.jpg
 
Don't believe I've ever seen a higher supercell composite parameter higher than what the nam is showing for monday afternoon ? Screenshot_20190517-172244_Samsung Internet.jpgScreenshot_20190517-172305_Samsung Internet.jpg
 
Looks like a violent rotation with that storm from earlier with possibly a CC Screenshot_20190517-174946_RadarScope.jpgScreenshot_20190517-174955_RadarScope.jpg
 
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