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Political Thread

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Jrips2710 said:
The idea that polls are always biased and always wrong is a bad take. Can Trump still win in November? Absolutely. There are 4 months to go. That's a lot of time and many many news cycles. But to say that he is in a good spot right now just isn't true.

Cherry-picking one poll from some conservative site when the national polling average from good pollsters is Biden 9-12 is also a yikes.

If you want to read up on polling accuracy over the years - https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-are-all-right/

Spoiler: 2016 was a perfect storm where state polling missed by 4-6 points in key states that tipped the election to Trump. But the polls haven't gotten more biased or worse over time. That 2016 error isn't far from an average miss. I don't think anyone from Trump's campaign would be comfortable with where they stand today.
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The primaries told me everything I needed to know about November. For Trump to turn those numbers out in those early states with no challenger and based on the enthusiasm I am seeing across the country now. The debates are coming and if Biden slips even in the slightest he is toast. Anger isnt enough to win this
 
Sandbar said:
Matthew dont take offense to this but you know exactly what you are going to get at this point. EXACTLY! Its your vote but basedon your posting history I cant put my finger on it. Tou seem to change your mind every 15 minutes.....its really odd
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No offense at all sir. Trump has my vote but again 4 months to go. Just like polls. Up and down. I agree this election is about Capitalism and Socialism. I have said that many times. But Trumps tactics are wearing on me. I think many people are like me. This election is ever changing. Both candidates suck. Maybe I’m hoping a true 3rd party comes forward and not Kayne??‍♂️. Maybe Biden will shock us all and chose a great vp. Is there really anything wrong with not be certain of who we’re voting for?
 
Matthew70 said:
No offense at all sir. Trump has my vote but again 4 months to go. Just like polls. Up and down. I agree this election is about Capitalism and Socialism. I have said that many times. But Trumps tactics are wearing on me. I think many people are like me. This election is ever changing. Both candidates suck. Maybe I’m hoping a true 3rd party comes forward and not Kayne. Maybe Biden will shock us all and chose a great vp. Is there really anything wrong with not be certain of who we’re voting for?
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Who karmela Harris or stacy Abrams lol


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Matthew70 said:
No offense at all sir. Trump has my vote but again 4 months to go. Just like polls. Up and down. I agree this election is about Capitalism and Socialism. I have said that many times. But Trumps tactics are wearing on me. I think many people are like me. This election is ever changing. Both candidates suck. Maybe I’m hoping a true 3rd party comes forward and not Kayne??‍♂️. Maybe Biden will shock us all and chose a great vp. Is there really anything wrong with not be certain of who we’re voting for?
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If many people are this confused then yeah, thats pretty frightening. You've had 4 years of Donald Trump and it is what it is. You have either prospered or you havent. Joe Biden has been there 45 years and hasnt done a GD thing. I wouldn't be getting inspired by any VP pick. If it comes to that the country is in deep deep doo doo.....
 
CoolNights said:
You mean like ABC/Washington Post polls?

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Yeah they are actual pollsters with a track record we can quantify, what you did is literally cherry picked one of the few good polls out there for Trump from a group that is a far right blog site more or less with a unscientific poll because it said something you liked in the face of overwhelming polling suggesting Trump is getting curb stomped.

Then you fall back on the Clinton/Trump polls because its all you have.....
 
Downeastnc said:
Yeah they are actual pollsters with a track record we can quantify, what you did is literally cherry picked one of the few good polls out there for Trump from a group that is a far right blog site more or less with a unscientific poll because it said something you liked in the face of overwhelming polling suggesting Trump is getting curb stomped.

Then you fall back on the Clinton/Trump polls because its all you have.....
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Track record? Trump WINS Hillary LOSES. Interesting track record.
 
Jrips2710 said:
Your evidence that polls suck is a Clinton +4% poll when she won the popular by 2.1%? Seems to me like that's a pretty good poll.
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Yeah this, Trump folks think Trump won big in 2016, Trump literally won by the slimmest of margins.....he lost the popular vote and edged out a win in the rust belt by fewer than 75k votes over 3 states.....all indications are that the independents and women and hell lots of Republicans are leaving Trump in droves.....but hey that silent majority will show up and Trump will win by a landslide.....
 
Downeastnc said:
Yeah they are actual pollsters with a track record we can quantify, what you did is literally cherry picked one of the few good polls out there for Trump from a group that is a far right blog site more or less with a unscientific poll because it said something you liked in the face of overwhelming polling suggesting Trump is getting curb stomped.

Then you fall back on the Clinton/Trump polls because its all you have.....
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All I have? So what do you have? The same old tired polls gaslighting people just like they did in 2016. At least I have the reality of a Trump win.
 
Major polling firms couldn't find Trump's support when thousands showed up at stadiums across the country while Hillary couldn't fill a bathroom. I believe they will once again have the same challenge and intent.
 
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