Snowflowxxl
Member
Your giving polling wayyyy too much credit. I went back yesterday and did a ton of research on 2018/2016 polling and it’s terrible. I’m not even gonna study any polls for this cycle until SeptemberI dunno, if anything WI/Fl/NC are the biggest swing states....if the Dems can lock down even one of them its over by a long shot. Polling has Biden ahead right now in WI and FL and only down a pt or so in NC......if you flip WI and AZ the Dems still win, if the GOP wins WI and AZ but lose FL the Dems win...etc etc etc.....Trump supporters fail to understand just how close Trump came to losing in 2016....its was literally by 75k votes spread over 3 states.....thats the only thing between Trump and Hillary being president. Trumps support in those 3 states is terrible right now, and the Dems are extremely motivated to remove him, chances he wins one much less all three of those states is low....if he loses one of them and then say AZ he loses...people that think Trump is gonna crush it in 2020 are nuts...he will lose the popular vote and scrape by on EC if he wins...he has to keep AZ and win at least two of MI/WI/PA and not lose FL or NC to win...again not likely IMO.