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Political Thread

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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:
Republicans own fault for running out candidates like McCain and Romney. Pitiful.
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I’m proud to say I voted for Romney and not for Trump. But I do think Trump will be helped by this police defunding nonsense. This may also keep me from voting Dem. Maybe I’d write in Kasich.
 
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Snowflowxxl said:
Thanks for clarifying. I try my best not to post garbage in the thread, so if it’s heavily edited then that’s my bad for not paying better attention.
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I appreciate this reply of yours. Here’s the story about the heavy editing from AP:

“The video featured multiple misleading edits, where key portions of Biden’s response were taken out. Clips of the original interview segment can be found on official accounts belonging to ‘The View’
on Twitter and YouTube.”

“The video features portions of Biden’s April 26, 2019, appearance on ABC’s daytime talk show ‘The View,’ but was edited to make it appear he failed to give a direct answer to the question, and stumbled through the response.”

apnews.com

Video edited to make it appear Biden avoided question on ‘The View’

CLAIM: Video appears to show presumptive Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden on “The View” avoiding a question about inappropriate touching. AP’S ASSESSMENT: False. The video features portions of Biden's April 26, 2019, appearance on ABC's daytime talk show "The View," but was edited to...
apnews.com apnews.com
 
GaWx said:
I’m proud to say I voted for Romney and not for Trump. But I do think Trump will be helped by this police defunding nonsense. This may also keep me from voting Dem. Maybe I’d write in Kasich.
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I should have known the red flag with Romney. It’s hard to be elected a Republican governor of an ultra liberal state if you truly are a Republican.
 
Over 1300 citizens lost their life in police custody last year. Only 13 died in the UK last year and 21 died in Australia. What's going on here?
 
Downeastnc said:
I use this since it averages the polls.....either way not a good look for Trump.....still Trump can lose the popular vote by millions of votes and still win.....the key battleground states are all that really matter at this point WI/MI/PA/NC/FL/OH/AZ.....those will tell the tale.

www.realclearpolitics.com

RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden

RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden
www.realclearpolitics.com www.realclearpolitics.com
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Yep. Run up the score in CA and NY, comes down to a handful of states.
 
Snowflowxxl said:
Joe Biden is actually more moderate on a lot of things vs the Bernies, Warrens, Betos, and Harris’ of the world. Now the left is going to force him to go more left than he wants (this is already obvious) but he’s definitely not a socialist lol
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I agree he’s not a socialist but if he’s elected, the heat from the AOC’s will be turned up in a hurry.
 
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:
I agree he’s not a socialist but if he’s elected, the heat from the AOC’s will be turned up in a hurry.
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Considering Biden’s Dementia and the possibility of Harris or Warren as VP. Who do you think will be doing most the work for Biden? Probably his VP so then we go socialist in a hurry. But if we go socialist gotta give everyone a monthly universal income. I’ll make sure to stay home and not work! I mean why work if I’m getting paid anyway?


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Jessy89 said:
Considering Biden’s Dementia and the possibility of Harris or Warren as VP. Who do you think will be doing most the work for Biden? Probably his VP so then we go socialist in a hurry. But if we go socialist gotta give everyone a monthly universal income. I’ll make sure to stay home and not work! I mean why work if I’m getting paid anyway?


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Very true. You’re seeing a little bit of that now. Some on unemployment are making more at home then when they were working on the job.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
I hope and would participate in major protesting if Biden wins to get him out of office. Bigger than the movement today.
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Oh if Trump loses I highly expect the mega people to protest. But that’s ok right I mean look at protesters today it’s ok for them. So it should be ok for Trump supporters to protest.


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Snowflowxxl said:
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Not good for Trump, obviously, though I don’t know how useful polls are at this point. Perhaps we are starting to get into range now where they are starting to become useful as the general election grows nearer. I’d prefer to wait until after the conventions, though.

Single polls can give you some one-off crazy results, too. Remember the ABC tracking poll that had Clinton up 50-38% on Trump in late October 2016 just a few weeks out from Election Day?

 
superjames1992 said:
Not good for Trump, obviously, though I don’t know how useful polls are at this point. Perhaps we are starting to get into range now where they are starting to become useful as the general election grows nearer. I’d prefer to wait until after the conventions, though.

Single polls can give you some one-off crazy results, too. Remember the ABC tracking poll that had Clinton up 50-38% on Trump in late October 2016 just a few weeks out from Election Day?

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Yep I don’t really think polls are all that relevant until the campaigns really begin. Everytime Joe Biden opens his mouth it causes doubt while Trump is at this best during his rallies. If I had to guess Trump is probably down 7-8 points nationally right now and he needs to get that number to 2-3 by November. Uphill battle but plausible.
 
superjames1992 said:
Not good for Trump, obviously, though I don’t know how useful polls are at this point. Perhaps we are starting to get into range now where they are starting to become useful as the general election grows nearer. I’d prefer to wait until after the conventions, though.

Single polls can give you some one-off crazy results, too. Remember the ABC tracking poll that had Clinton up 50-38% on Trump in late October 2016 just a few weeks out from Election Day?

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What about the multiple polls out of Wisconsin 5 days out in 2016 that had Hillary up 6-8 points there. Oy.
 
Yeah to me polls are not a good indicator after what happened in 2016, and in states where it is close it only takes 10-20k votes one way or another to swing things.

I expect the VP pick for Biden will be a key as well. If he chooses more of a moderate I could see some trump supporters and independents moving that direction. If he chooses someone like Kamala Harris it could push those on the fence to Trump or a 3rd party candidate. Whoever he picks as VP will likely take over at some point in his term imo and most people anticipate this. The on the fence voters will likely be affected the most by his VP pick.
 
CoolNights said:
CAMEROTA: "What if in the middle of the night my home is broken into. Who do I call?" BENDER: "Yes, I hear that loud and clear from a lot of my neighbors. And I know — and myself, too, and I know that that comes from a place of privilege."


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That is absolute insanity.
I'm curious how Biden handles the "defund the police" idiocy. If he endorses it he'll lose massive moderate voters and if he opposes it he'll totally lose the socialist, far left vote. He is possibly backed into a corner.
 
stretch46 said:
That is absolute insanity.
I'm curious how Biden handles the "defund the police" idiocy. If he endorses it he'll lose massive moderate voters and if he opposes it he'll totally lose the socialist, far left vote. He is possibly backed into a corner.
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The Dems have as singular focus, remove Trump, this wont deter the Dems from supporting Biden regardless of where he comes down on this issue....
 
Snowflowxxl said:
Joe Biden is actually more moderate on a lot of things vs the Bernies, Warrens, Betos, and Harris’ of the world. Now the left is going to force him to go more left than he wants (this is already obvious) but he’s definitely not a socialist lol
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Joe Biden is definitely the establishment candidate. If and when he is elected, things will go back to the normal of the 90s and 2000s. Unemployment will hover around 9-10%, regulations will be stricter, those with money will invest less and hold more money offshore, free trade will be re-enacted so globalist can get back to moving manufacturing jobs offshore for cheaper labor and higher profit for stakeholders, we will redeploy thousands of troops to the middle east and elsewhere to get the defense contractors and all of their lobbyist paid, and health insurance premiums will continue to go up while the democrats complain of not being able to do anything about it because of Republican push back, and gas will go back up to $3.50 a gallon. The top 1% will approve.
 
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