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Wintry Palm Sunday NC and VA Winter Storm

SD said:
This is a real punch in the groin
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I hate living down here. It is always 6 miles too far south.
 
Uh oh. 0C line at 850 and 925 hPa is lifting rapidly towards Raleigh, condensation and deposition aloft in concert w/ the in-situ CAD is accelerating the development of what may be a potential warm nose as indicated by the HRRR...
 
SD said:
Can't wait to see your pics of 2-4 in the morning per the usual lol

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Funny.... not this time, appears best rates will stay just to my south unless something changes

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Webberweather53 said:
Uh oh. 0C line at 850 and 925 hPa is lifting rapidly towards Raleigh, condensation and deposition aloft in concert w/ the in-situ CAD is accelerating the development of what may be a potential warm nose as indicated by the HRRR...
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Not ideal
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Cary_Snow95 said:
Oddly enough just switched from snow to heavy rain in Cary
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Yeah this looks legit just switched over to rain here too. There was a bright CC band that accelerated north across Harnett and Wake counties ten minutes or so ago, likely the warm nose. DBz is also crashing so yeah that was fun while it lasted
 
SD said:
Rah goes with winter storm warnings

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Wow with advisories another tier of counties east.... nice redevelopment along the border up into southern Va. to me my west hoping that gives me a little wintry taste here in an hour or so
 
Lol wow. That was the fastest changeover to a brief heavy snow I’ve seen. Best case now is a changeover to sleet...
 
SD said:
Rah goes with winter storm warnings

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Lol they might start regretting that in short order if they haven't already, the 825-900 hPa temps have warmed above freezing and the warm nose is accelerating rapidly NWward due to condensation/deposition aloft over the shallow in-situ CAD dome.
 
And we get the WWA as soon as it goes back to rain. RAH batting 0 for 2 today.
 
This reminds me a lot of February 2015 where a huge CC bright band shot across central NC in a matter of 30-45 minutes except our CAD was deeper (so the warming occurred higher aloft where it's colder) and happened at a colder time of the year. WAA that was evident from day 1 in the models in late march above 900-925 hPa is usually a death sentence.
 
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