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Ostrich December

Hmm, we'll see......
.LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...

Otherwise, Christmas Day will be cold. Highs will struggle to
rise above freezing in north Georgia and barely rise above 40 in
central Georgia. In fact, if the current forecast high of 35 at
Atlanta is realized, it would tie for the 5th coldest Christmas
high temperature and the coldest since 1989. Temperatures will
gradually moderate through the weekend, approaching normal highs
by Sunday. The next weak system looks to approach by Monday or so,
though some minor timing differences remain between models. At
any rate, QPF appears minor at this time.

RW
 
Stormdoc said:
Just about to post this. Starting to see operationals show what happens when blocking starts to work. If we get more PNA we will have something to track during this time frame.
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Yeah for example that last miller B/CAD close call, models had it cutting/doing a weird transfer to our north around D7-10, (gefs didn’t even catch on till about 5-6 days out) but trending to more blocking over time which allowed our super close call with that cold rain and suppressed the storm a bit , wouldn’t shock me if we do it again
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Yeah for example that last miller B/CAD close call, models had it cutting/doing a weird transfer to our north around D7-10, (gefs didn’t even catch on till about 5-6 days out) but trending to more blocking over time which allowed our super close call with that cold rain and suppressed the storm a bit , wouldn’t shock me if we do it again
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I also think global models are starting to catch on to the pattern the ensembles and teleconnections have hinted at. Now we are nearing peak climo, I think we may see more than cold rains start showing up, but we will see. Interesting times might be right around the corner, even before the unicorn SSWE has a chance to appear.
 
Stormdoc said:
I also think global models are starting to catch on to the pattern the ensembles and teleconnections have hinted at. Now we are nearing peak climo, I think we may see more than cold rains start showing up, but we will see. Interesting times might be right around the corner, even before the unicorn SSWE has a chance to appear.
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I heard a lot people on here talking about this sswe is this a good or bad
 
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strongwxnc said:
Good lord. That would be a hit!
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Im sure ICE is in our cards somewhere on down the line but im not enthused. It really takes alot to get a good ICE storm. last big one i got was in 2016 or 2017 got about .50 out of 3.0 of rain. With all this blocking one would think a good ole fashion snowstorm is in the cards somewhere i think the models are starting to hint at it. The date that has my attention is around Jan 6. Thats the time to watch imo
 
Mcdowell_weather said:
Im sure ICE is in our cards somewhere on down the line but im not enthused. It really takes alot to get a good ICE storm. last big one i got was in 2016 or 2017 got about .50 out of 3.0 of rain. With all this blocking one would think a good ole fashion snowstorm is in the cards somewhere i think the models are starting to hint at it. The date that has my attention is around Jan 6. Thats the time to watch imo
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The pattern coming up before New Years honestly is one of the best looks for ice I’ve seen in a while, it really just depends on how amped/fast or slow our southern wave is, and how amped/fast or slow the southeast Canada vortex is
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
The pattern coming up before New Years honestly is one of the best looks for ice I’ve seen in a while, it really just depends on how amped/fast or slow our southern wave is, and how amped/fast or slow the southeast Canada vortex is
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I was looking at that today def bears watching. Heck today is just the 2nd day of winter no worries for sure plenty of time.
 
Mcdowell_weather said:
I was looking at that today def bears watching. Heck today is just the 2nd day of winter no worries for sure plenty of time.
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Yeah tbh I’ve been impatient, but I remember it’s only December, and we’re already running up a pattern way better than last years shitfest, we don’t talk about 2019-2020 nomore around here lol
 
Clem282340 said:
I heard a lot people on here talking about this sswe is this a good or bad
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Maybe good. As others have said, it disrupts the atmosphere enough to usually keep the vortex up north from bottling up the cold, and more likely for cold air masses to plunge southward, although more often than not it seems to affect Europe more than North America it seems.
 
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