Ostrich December

[Webberweather53]

A 1072mb sfc high on the GEFS mean 6.5 days out. Holy ?

 

[Webberweather53]

This is honestly the strongest E Asia cold surge & positive mountain torque event I can remember watching in real-time, MSLPa above +4 sigma & 850s greater than -4 to -5 sigma is insane. Get ready for an extended Pacific jet & +PNA, possibly a West Pacific MJO event, & polar vortex destruction as we enter early January.

 

[Snowfan]

This is honestly the strongest E Asia cold surge & positive mountain torque event I can remember watching in real-time, MSLPa above +4 sigma & 850s greater than -4 to -5 sigma is insane. Get ready for an extended Pacific jet & +PNA, possibly a West Pacific MJO event, & polar vortex destruction as we enter early January.

View attachment 59444

View attachment 59443

 

[Webberweather53]

Here's the links to these maps shown above from Alicia Bentley:

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/abentley/realtime.html

 

[SnowNiner]

This is honestly the strongest E Asia cold surge & positive mountain torque event I can remember watching in real-time, MSLPa above +4 sigma & 850s greater than -4 to -5 sigma is insane. Get ready for an extended Pacific jet & +PNA, possibly a West Pacific MJO event, & polar vortex destruction as we enter early January.

View attachment 59444

View attachment 59443

You had me at +PNA. Yes please! ???

 

[Webberweather53]

I think we're gonna have to keep an eye on the tail end of Dec imo, a classic CAD pattern is setting itself up at 500mb here on the 12z Euro and its ensembles have been hinting at it for a while.

 

[Brent]

Yeah sure TWC

 

[Myfrotho704_]

While this is meh, it’s worth noting the euro has been super amped in the medium range lately, and it’s still close to a nice CAD look Synoptically, although this verbatim isn’t the best

 

[Ollie Williams]

Yeah sure TWCView attachment 59449

That storm is up towards Mack's house on the Euro this run.

 

[Webberweather53]

While this is meh, it’s worth noting the euro has been super amped in the medium range lately, and it’s still close to a nice CAD look Synoptically, although this verbatim isn’t the best View attachment 59450

Amp & slow the Atlantic Canada trough and we're in business imo.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Amp & slow the Atlantic Canada trough and we're in business imo.

Wonder if areas south of the CAD dome would probably have to contend with severe weather with this look

 

[Stormdoc]

Euro pretty meh compared to 12z , has a cutter instead of an ice storm. However, it does set up this look which I’ll take in a heartbeat!

 

[Tarheel1]

Lights out View attachment 59329View attachment 59331View attachment 59330View attachment 59332

Jimmy finally Jackpots?

 

[Tarheel1]

Imagine being colder than Caribou, ME on Christmas lol

Meanwhile, Feliz Navidad?

 

[LickWx]

Anyone have the maxar map for how biased models have been ? Another day of shooting well over what models forecast . Gfs had 51 for today , currently 56.

Also as expected forecast for Christmas Eve warmed up now to near 70.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lights out @Blue_Ridge_Escarpment haha

 

[wxdaniel]

Here's the links to these maps shown above from Alicia Bentley:

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/abentley/realtime.html

I think I would like to have a cup of coffee with her. She has a brilliant mind and a lot of honors from prestigious ambassadors from different backgrounds.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Lights out @Blue_Ridge_Escarpment hahaView attachment 59456View attachment 59457

And not in a good way lol

 

[Clem282340]

Lights out @Blue_Ridge_Escarpment hahaView attachment 59456View attachment 59457

I know that we are the medium range is this storm just mountain storm or can others on the broad bridge involved as well such as upstate and ne ga

 

[Tarheel1]

Lights out @Blue_Ridge_Escarpment hahaView attachment 59456View attachment 59457

That’s a weird thermal profile, doesn’t look like a classic wedge?