Ostrich December

[Snowfan]

I wonder if the EPS will agree with the operational run.

 

[Ollie Williams]

?

 

[Stormlover]

@ryan1234 I think its you avatar. You could post that you just hit the lottery but your picture says, "I'm so disappointed and sad".

In other news, the EURO showing SOMETHING is kind of a happy, hopefully not short-lived moment. Let's bring this crappy year to a nice close!!

WTF?

 

[RVD]

Hmmm, maybe we can trend this to a nice upper level low snow event, and that would include more people over a anafront View attachment 58788

If it cuts off like that, it would be nice to get the northern stream a bit ahead of it, I think. Would help with cold air. Don't think we'll pull off that nice of a look though, and this still gives me flurries on the back side verbatim. Not a huge fan of positive height anomalies near Maine, personally.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Let’s trend this one to glory

 

[Storm5]

Honestly I would be ok unlocking the thread, the euro idea has legs imo and some support from the Canadian.

do it


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[SD]

Ok,gotcha...might not be technically the same, I'm just talking about trending more towards some snow...I agree something bigger could be in the works

Honestly if you want to see legitimate snowfall you have got to be pulling for the Euro and not the gfs at this point. Your area might do ok in a gfs scenario if I remember correctly you do ok on the backside of lows in the caa setup but for a good majority of posters the Euro look is far more likely to give at least some flurries or snow showers if not a period of snow

 

[Mitch West]

Hmmm, maybe we can trend this to a nice upper level low snow event, and that would include more people over a anafront View attachment 58788

I noticed an extension of snow that’s developed West of the main energy that gives areas South snow.

 

[RVD]

?
View attachment 58792

Compared to the GFS, the ECMWF sucks for high latitude blocking in LR, and this event still manages to become a decent snow for the mountains and immediate CAD areas. I like.

 

[ryan1234]

It's all good. Don't take yourself so seriously.

View attachment 58794

And you are STILL going. Please just stop.

 

[SD]

Yeah can we please stop with the snippy stuff. At the end of the day it's just modeled snow

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I’ll take my chances, this look wouldn’t work in early December but 10-20 days later now into late December? Yeah it possibly would

 

[Tarheel1]

Gfs looks ok ! ?

 

[DixieBlizzard]

@ryan1234 Fair enough. I deleted the messages. Have a great afternoon!

 

[Storm5]

It's not the same at all. Just because the results are similar doesn't mean how they get there is.

The Euro wasn't far off from burying parts of the region in a decent snow

What do we need for that to happen ?


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[SD]

What you like to see here is the euro placing more energy at the base of the trough and consolidating it. This setup certainly favors MS/Al/NGa/Tn/NWSC/WNC. What you want to see is the closed upper low at the base of the trough try to dig more and separate from the northern part of the trough in the lakes. If you want to go for a memorable storm you want to energy digging in and feeding into the back of the trough to be a little more west. This may help entice the base of the trough to slow and help get us a true phaser and sfc low. The potential here is very high but you've got to move a couple of pieces

 

[SD]

What do we need for that to happen ?


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Just posted

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS is better

 

[Clem282340]

EPS is better

Did it increase the snowfall

 

[Myfrotho704_]

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