Ostrich December

[olhausen]

We clearly need to recruit more TN folks. They should be bouncing off the walls.

It’s definitely got my attention but most likely outcome by game day is rain changing to heavy wet snow which dumps a half to one inch of snow. Either way I love the fact we are looking at a second event of the season and especially so close to Christmas. It’s been a great December with these slightly below temps so far and early snow.

 

[jjwxman]

The dang Euro is determined to drag our disappointed butts right through the Christmas holiday without any flakes whatsoever. Definitely looks more like a severe outbreak instead. And what happened to the bitterly cold air? Honestly, the 00z looks nothing like the run just 24 hours ago in regards to the surging cold. It’s really not impressive even...

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[NickyBGuarantee]

The dang Euro is determined to drag our disappointed butts right through the Christmas holiday without any flakes whatsoever. Definitely looks more like a severe outbreak instead. And what happened to the bitterly cold air? Honestly, the 00z looks nothing like the run just 24 hours ago in regards to the surging cold. It’s really not impressive even...

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One model

 

[BufordWX]

FWIW the 06z GFS is sticking to its guns for those west of the mountains. It even looks a little better then the 00z run.

 

[POWERSTROKE]

One model

Yep the main model. The non event ice storm euro said nothing much and was right which most of the time it is. It has to be on board generally for anything to happen

 

[BufordWX]

I think member 8 on the GEFS malfunctioned. Lol

 

[BufordWX]

I think member 8 on the GEFS malfunctioned. LolView attachment 58725View attachment 58728

Just to make sure this is known, the GEFS looks very good if you look at the mean, but be aware that member 8 is skewing the mean greatly. Although there are a few interesting members.

 

[Montanasnow30]

I think member 8 on the GEFS malfunctioned. LolView attachment 58725View attachment 58728

Jesus Christ sign me up

 

[FallsLake]

At least (right this second) I've got wording for snow in my grid forecast:
Thursday Night
A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Christmas Day
A chance of snow showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

 

[Metwannabe]

At least (right this second) I've got wording for snow in my grid forecast:
Thursday Night
A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Christmas Day
A chance of snow showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

So do I, surprised to see that from Rah NWS that's for sure. They're usually very conservative

 

[JJr]

I think member 8 on the GEFS malfunctioned. LolView attachment 58725View attachment 58728

Whoever completed the radar upgrade is probably tweaking the models now

 

[BirdManDoomW]

I bet the MTN counties will be crowded Christmas Day with visitors looking for snow close by. Really going to be ripping up there and brutal wind chills. What an awesome winter up there for skiing thanksgiving right into Christmas Day.

 

[Webberweather53]

Wow that 0z Euro run was a total snooze fest for Xmas Eve into Xmas.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Wow that 0z Euro run was a total snooze fest for Xmas Eve into Xmas.

Give me snow or give me coal!

 

[ajr]

Pattern is definitely active on the GEFS -- nothing specific, but looks like ~12/27-12/28 and ~new years will be some systems to track

 

[SD]

Classic mega frost this morning. Roofs, shrubs, grass, cars covered

 

[Ethan80963]

Here were the 6z GEFSv12 members through d10

 

[Jessy89]

Here were the 6z GEFSv12 members through d10
View attachment 58731

E24 please and I’ll call it a winter


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[Deleted member 1449]

 

[NCSNOW]

The local weather man did good job of explaining meteorology v/s modelology. He knows everyones phone apps are run off GFS model showing white Christmas.