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Ostrich December

This was the image the other day that was going to produce a big winter storm:

gfs_z500_mslp_nhem_62.png

And here's the tonight's image that won't produce a winter storm:

gfs_z500_mslp_nhem_32.png

So we can see there's a little work to be done. Lots of time though. And if the model has the H5 look generally correct, we're going to get to do a LOT of model gazing over the next couple of weeks. I expect some big fantasy storms, IF the H5 look is close to what's being shown.
 
This was the image the other day that was going to produce a big winter storm:

View attachment 58395


85fcbc1ed280cece88b41dab04143423.jpg






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I want to make love under this painting....
 
Thank you I did do papers on members who refuse to accept this fact. I will publish the paper here during next cad event in case they forgot.
I will not forget that the NAM was correct for the first 9/10s of this past system and I know the warm nose is always worse than modeled, but not sure you can discount a look like this NW fringe potential event when there is not a secondary low in KY. NAM was dry up here so not sure what it would print out . This is a really unlikely setup to produce though. 00z inbound so we will see if things look different.
 
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