Prestige Worldwide
Member
Maybe some great news for all of us
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Ostrich December
- Thread starter SETNwx
- Start date
Maybe some great news for all of us
GFS is a bit faster this run but it's still a Anafrontal.
Baja wave slowly coming back into view 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Now it just needs to giddy up and chase after the big upper trough.
Same for Birmingham not finna get my hopes up lol
Can we trend this the right direction more or do we suck at that 
It’s this type of consistency with the GFS, that lets you know, it’s wrong, lol 
I know I said that a phasing Baja wave wasn’t likely, but now I take back that it’s impossible. I think that we could get a phase with better trends, but this is another, I’ll see it when I believe it situation.
Problem I saw last night is that +PNA sliding East from this point going forward. I don’t love the WAR but it doesn’t necessarily hurt us if it stays where it’s at. What do you see? Can we get that trough to dig in long enough to let a southern stream wave make a pass?
That big wave coming onshore in the Pacific Northwest is a killer honestly. Idk. Maybe I’m wrong
If we can slow that wave entering the Pacific Northwest down to keep our +PNA in place a touch longer then we might have a chance?
RVD
Meteorology Student
I agree, I'd like to see a second piece of energy in the N/S dive behind this Christmas anafrontal miracle, because chances are that big trough the GFS keeps showing will move out, or if the Baja energy caught up and interacted w/ it we'd be too warm. Instead it'd be nice to see that trough position itself more as a 50/50 low for a storm on the 27/28th. GFS did this on yesterday's 18z, but it's not shown up since and I'm not confident it will again.
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Gfs did have some snow showers in the piedmont of nc overnight tho
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Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk
Post overload. Speed our Baja piece of energy up and slow the one entering the NW down and we might have a shot to time something up. Mainly north of 85 of course.. ?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
If we can get the Baja wave to move over into the red circled area about 500-600 miles to the east, we'll have a classic southern slider/overunning event on our hands because it's plenty cold enough to snow at least to the I-20 corridor w/ this deep longwave trough centered near the Lakes
Clem282340
Member
Are we moving in that direction
Plenty of time to do so still, my expectations are very low but it’s still very possible
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We're getting closer. These southwestern US/northern Mexico cut off upper lows are so fickle though, they can easily trend 500 miles+ inside day 3-4 in or against our favor. I'd like to see the wave come a little more east and north so it's more deeply embedded in the westerly flow (moves faster east if it's further north) & is further east so timing wise it comes out and starts throwing moisture into this arctic air mass before it leaves
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
We just can't buy anything but an apps cutter. You would think, just by the odds, we could eventually get a gulf coast track but we just can't. These apps cutters, especially with marginal cold, just aren't going to do it.?
And honestly the ingredients are there to pop a coastal off the Carolina coast if enough energy drops down out of Montana on the 26/27th. It’ll be moving fast. Ensembles showing any OBX snow around that timeframe? Hmm