This smells like overrunning/anafront..... 
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Ostrich December
- Thread starter SETNwx
- Start date
overrunning events are the best.
Broken024
Member
Hohoho merry Christmas?
Looks like if it played out like this the next phase could be a big low over AK. Let’s just hope this progression is wrong.I don’t like the influx of cold attic air over Siberia end of the month. There is nothing going to press on it.
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JLL1973
Member
whatalife
Moderator
So here is day 10-15 on all 3 major 12z ensemble runs. As shown in an earlier post the EPS final 3 days was the coldest of all three model suits. Is it going to be a transient shot of cold followed by normal to above normal temps.?.Let’s see how this plays out after Christmas.
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I love me some nighttime heavy rain events. Maybe we can squeeze out a little thunder as well?
The 18z GFS is showing some potential down the road. Mostly cold chasing moisture or thread the needle scenarios. Nothing like the winter paradise of yesterday's 18z, but no torch pattern either. The NAO even wants to be negative, thought i can't imagine why.So here is day 10-15 on all 3 major 12z ensemble runs. As shown in an earlier post the EPS final 3 days was the coldest of all three model suits. Is it going to be a transient shot of cold followed by normal to above normal temps.?.Let’s see how this plays out after Christmas.
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whatalife
Moderator
Yep! New decade...So maybe it’s the decade of the -NAO...Last decade sure as h&$$ wasn’t!
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So here is day 10-15 on all 3 major 12z ensemble runs. As shown in an earlier post the EPS final 3 days was the coldest of all three model suits. Is it going to be a transient shot of cold followed by normal to above normal temps.?.Let’s see how this plays out after Christmas.
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Those longwave pattern looks give me December 2017 vibes
I would not toss in the towel on winter weather potential around Christmas, GFs has been somewhat consistent with its H5 look leading up to this period.
Yeah, I’m liking that Rex block with an amped wave in the SE, classic setup for a winter storm here. The question is, will there be a +EPO that pushes the ridge over the US, or a -EPO and a trough in the NE. I’m looking into it too much, but that’s what models are showing in the LR taking verbatim.
Prestige Worldwide
Member
Late December showing promise.
JHS
Member
If this LaNina performs like 1998-99, this month into very early Jan may be our best window for a big system. Most likely ice.
MeteoStar Home > User
I’m literally in the fog this evening with visibility much less than the width of the park. This is the foggiest I can remember on a walk here. Temps is near 59, which is just a few degrees under the normal high.
Our leaf peak is just now happening!
Our leaf peak is just now happening!
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SnowNiner
Member
It looks like it's good.