Pattern October Thread

[NickyBGuarantee]

Other things to note is models continue to like to spit out these blocks (not in the best locations for optimal chill) that are set up to our north sometimes showing up as anomalous .. these are what I think will save our winter from being a complete dumpster fire. As they did last winter. Will we make it without a SER the whole winter? Probably not but those blocks will certainly help us try to stay balanced and keep a chance for snow in the cards every so often.

 

[SD]

Current temps

 

[SD]

this seems to be a little more than models had

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

this seems to be a little more than models had
View attachment 92742

What’s up with KRDU it’s been out for a minute .. I love using it for finer details when showers and storms are approaching

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

this seems to be a little more than models had
View attachment 92742

HRRR certainly seems to be the only one seeing things properly .. even NAM 3km looks solid .. .25 for the win

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Models are trending towards digging that trough more towards the west coast and speeding up the flow across the US to one more zonal/fast, if that’s the case then that could possibly introduce some anomalous warmth back, however the Canadian block will try to work against that

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Models are trending towards digging that trough more towards the west coast and speeding up the flow across the US to one more zonal/fast, if that’s the case then that could possibly introduce some anomalous warmth back, however the Canadian block will try to work against that View attachment 92749View attachment 92748View attachment 92750

Yeah look at all that blocking toward Greenland .. that’s going to keep things in check for sure

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yeah look at all that blocking toward Greenland .. that’s going to keep things in check for sure View attachment 92751

Man the pacific is terrible no way to get any airmass straight from the Arctic with that look

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That’s a solid pattern for southern plains/SE severe weather

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

That’s a solid pattern for southern plains/SE severe weather View attachment 92752View attachment 92753View attachment 92754

Yeah Texas can keep their summer since they like it so much! Sorry Brent :/

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Yay

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Yeah Texas can keep their summer since they like it so much! Sorry Brent :/

Brent doesn't live in Texas.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Noice

 

[SD]

Current Temps

Current Dews


Rax Radar

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Bacc to them basics

 

[NorthDFWwx]

That’s a solid pattern for southern plains/SE severe weather View attachment 92752View attachment 92753View attachment 92754

I'm skeptical of those dewpoints verifying as high with the veered flow, and the poor lapse rates will make it difficult to get any organized complexes.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS has a trough with no cold air moving in around D13

 

[SD]

Interesting

 

[NorthDFWwx]

It's interesting that they're callig them thunderstorms when I can't find a single lightning strike...