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Pattern October Oscitance

LovingGulfLows said:
It feels soooo good. It only took a massive hurricane to finally get here, but we're here baby! Definitely need to spend the next 3-4 weeks outdoors before it gets cold.
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Yep... unfortunately we pretty well knew all along that getting a real cool down without a major price would be nearly impossible :(
 
metwannabe said:
Got down to 50.0 at the house and checking at the airport at Halifax looks like they got down to 48.

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50.2 here tonight has a shot at dropping into the 40s if we can keep the clouds away. Im really starting to get behind the idea of our first frost within the next 2 weeks

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Crazy to think as brutal as this never ending summer has been we could potentially get a frost close to the avg first frost. Switch flipped
SD said:
50.2 here tonight has a shot at dropping into the 40s if we can keep the clouds away. Im really starting to get behind the idea of our first frost within the next 2 weeks

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Only statistical probabilities and not a temp forecast, per se or by any stretch, but it's so pretty ... :cool:

sfc_count_sup814_temp.gif
 
Looks like a couple days in Dallas will stay in the 40s. So it takes that kind of cold push to get us to average lol.
 
I see everyone is enjoying the first true fall front of the season. Got down to 40 degrees two nights ago but only 47 last night because of cloud coverage. I see some crazy sharp temp gradients on the models next week between north and south Tennessee. One Day has northern Tennessee in the mid 50s and southern Tennessee in the 80s. Wow!
 
Anyone up for the "if only" game with the GFS? It's the furthest south with the cold blast, but it's a cold blast regardless and all the models suggest it at least. I'll take the mid 40s or even low 40s out of the cold that is the most likely outcome.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_31.png
 
Check out the winds behind the extreme for this time of year cold front in the TX panhandle, which will shortly lead to a very long duration hard freeze along with light ZR starting this afternoon:

WEST TEXAS WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
700 AM CDT SUN OCT 14 2018

TEXAS PANHANDLE/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
AMARILLO CLOUDY 51 46 83 NW28G37 29.86R
BORGER CLOUDY 53 47 79 NW16G23 29.85R
CANADIAN CLOUDY 56 55 96 S7 29.79R
DALHART LGT RAIN 41 34 76 N29G46 29.93R
DUMAS CLOUDY 42 38 86 NW38G53 29.89R
GUYMON LGT RAIN 41 38 89 N33G49
——————————-
Back deep into this very cold Canadian airmass, check out the snowy Denver area, which will end up with a HIGH, which was at midnight, of only 28 vs the record low max of 36 that was set in the weak El Niño year of 1969:


.NORTHERN COLORADO FRONT RANGE


CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
DENVER INTL AP LGT SNOW 20 17 88 NE16 30.19R FOG WCI 6
AURORA LGT SNOW 19 18 94 NE7 30.18R FOG WCI 10
FRONT RANGE AP LGT SNOW 21 19 93 N14 30.19R WCI 8
ERIE MUNI ARPT LGT SNOW 22 20 91 N8 30.28R WCI 13
BOULDER MUN AP LGT SNOW 23 21 93 NE6 30.21R WCI 16
CENTENNIAL LGT SNOW 20 18 92 NE13G22 30.17R FOG WCI 7
BROOMFIELD LGT SNOW 21 19 93 NW8 30.19R WCI 12
FORT COLLINS LGT SNOW 21 20 96 NE9 30.23R FOG WCI 11
LONGMONT LGT SNOW 24 21 87 N5 30.25R WCI 18
 
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olhausen said:
I see everyone is enjoying the first true fall front of the season. Got down to 40 degrees two nights ago but only 47 last night because of cloud coverage. I see some crazy sharp temp gradients on the models next week between north and south Tennessee. One Day has northern Tennessee in the mid 50s and southern Tennessee in the 80s. Wow!
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Which model is showing 80's in Tennessee next week and what day next week are you talking about? Looks like high in the 60's and lows in the 40's.
 
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