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Pattern October Oscitance

Onto something maybe for the mountains or wishful thinking? Get the Euro and others on board and maybe it'll come to fruition.
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  1. The NW TX cold front was at Noon CDT barely N of Seminole, which was still up at 76 with SW winds. Watch the next hour how much Seminole drops. Lubbock, which is merely 75 miles to the NW, is already down to 50 with N winds gusting to 36 (blue norther as they call them)! Plainview, which is only 43 miles N of Lubbock, is down to 41 with N winds gusting to 31. Further north, Amarillo was down to 36 with N winds gusting to 40 and flurries less than 40 miles N of them after being way up at 57 around dawn! Total distance Seminole to Amarillo: 179 miles and they’re 40 degrees apart! Now that’s a cold front!

SEMINOLE SUNNY 76 49 38 SW10 29.96S
LUBBOCK CLOUDY 50 43 77 N23G36 29.98R
PLAINVIEW CLOUDY 41 36 81 N21G31 30.02R
AMARILLO CLOUDY 36 31 82 N32G40 30.10R WCI 23

Much further NW, Denver is a frigid 20 with snow at 11 AM MDT. Their normal high is 66!
 
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GaWx said:
The NW TX cold front was at Noon CDT barely N of Seminole, which was still up at 76 with SW winds. Watch the next hour how much Seminole drops. Lubbock, which is merely 75 miles to the NW, is already down to 50 with N winds gusting to 36 (blue norther as they call them)! Plainview, which is only 43 miles N of Lubbock, is down to 41 with N winds gusting to 31. Further north, Amarillo was down to 36 with N winds gusting to 40 and flurries less than 40 miles N of them after being way up at 57 around dawn! Now that’s a cold front!

SEMINOLE SUNNY 76 49 38 SW10 29.96S
LUBBOCK CLOUDY 50 43 77 N23G36 29.98R
PLAINVIEW CLOUDY 41 36 81 N21G31 30.02R
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Sounds like a Valdosta, Lake City, Hogtown January split ... LOL
 
GaWx said:
The NW TX cold front was at Noon CDT barely N of Seminole, which was still up at 76 with SW winds. Watch the next hour how much Seminole drops.
SEMINOLE SUNNY 76 49 38 SW10 29.96S
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1 PM CDT: drop of 17 F in one hour just behind the NW TX cold front with winds shifted from SW to N and gusting to 30:
SEMINOLE PTSUNNY 59 51 76 N21G30 30.00R
 
Snowman63 said:
Which model is showing 80's in Tennessee next week and what day next week are you talking about? Looks like high in the 60's and lows in the 40's.
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Toady the models have backed off a little but I was talking about the runs from yesterday that were showing 50s north and low 80s south for Monday. Probably closer to 60s north though since these temps are around mid day.

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Brent said:
earliest snow on record in parts of Kansas earlier

Please be a sign

I'm in Chicago and they're talking about a couple flurries in the suburbs tonight as the rain ends:eek:
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This is the part where I start having dreams of a snowy Iron Bowl.

Early winters are the best, take advantage of that low sun angle.
 
Cold shots seem plentiful through the end of what seems like every model run. I hope the pattern didn’t flip too early..
 
If I start moaning and carrying on like a pissed of child on the playground, please stuff me in the 1st grade wastepaper basket ...


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On the other hand, the preference is to wait for a Christmas present, so never mind ... :cool:
 
whatalife said:
No. I missed it. What happened .


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LovingGulfLows said:
GFS 12z Hour 324....massive 4 contoured bowling ball ULL rolling through the SE....jesus...imagine if we had that in January. That's a big snowstorm. GFS in lalaland again.
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Just your everyday 4 sigma cut-off ULL over GA near the end of October
gfs_z500aNorm_us_49.png


Only reason worth mentioning is because the pattern is generally ripe (as Masiello mentioned above) for a big storm near the eastern US around the end of the month and there's been a remarkable trough in the general vicinity of the SE US in some way, shape, or form off & on within the last several runs of the GFS around this time.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Just your everyday 4 sigma cut-off ULL over GA near the end of October
View attachment 7005


Only reason worth mentioning is because the pattern is generally ripe (as Masiello mentioned above) for a big storm near the eastern US around the end of the month and there's been a remarkable trough in the general vicinity of the SE US in some way, shape, or form off & on within the last several runs of the GFS around this time.
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Yep. I have noticed that too. Looks interesting.


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Webberweather53 said:
Just your everyday 4 sigma cut-off ULL over GA near the end of October
View attachment 7005


Only reason worth mentioning is because the pattern is generally ripe (as Masiello mentioned above) for a big storm near the eastern US around the end of the month and there's been a remarkable trough in the general vicinity of the SE US in some way, shape, or form off & on within the last several runs of the GFS around this time.
Click to expand...
Webb,
I'm rehabbing a dadgum torn rotator cuff and you post pics like that and you therefore cause me to momentarily jump and it, well ... forces me into another ice pack ... LOL ... but what else to do in the late afternoon on a (near ...we'll see) record high day but throw tons more ice on the upper right side ...
;)
Phil

Edit:
Webb, you've done it now ... NWS just says we set a record of 93º for the date ... more ice, now, please ...
 
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Webberweather53 said:
Just your everyday 4 sigma cut-off ULL over GA near the end of October
View attachment 7005


Only reason worth mentioning is because the pattern is generally ripe (as Masiello mentioned above) for a big storm near the eastern US around the end of the month and there's been a remarkable trough in the general vicinity of the SE US in some way, shape, or form off & on within the last several runs of the GFS around this time.
Click to expand...
It their a possibility it could bring a miracle to the southeast? Most likely it won’t but is their a possibility.
 
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pcbjr said:
Webb,
I'm rehabbing a dadgum torn rotator cuff and you post pics like that and you therefore cause me to momentarily jump and it, well ... forces me into another ice pack ... LOL ... but what else to do in the late afternoon on a (near ...we'll see) record high day but throw tons more ice on the upper right side ...
;)
Phil

Edit:
Webb, you've done it now ... NWS just says we set a record of 93º for the date ... more ice, now, please ...
Click to expand...
Sorry to hear, heal quick!
 
Webberweather53 said:
The long range GFS essentially looks like Nov 1 2014 version 2. We know what happened in Columbia, SC that day.
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And we had snow in N GA and there was some in TN and NC as well. How I would love what happened over in Columbia to happen over here or just have more precipitation or have colder air than last time.
 
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