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Pattern Novemburrr

There is a decent bit of snow noise on the eps for different parts of the region outside of the mountains either side of Thanksgiving. Not going to lie if we get a pattern similar to the eps and to a lesser extent the gefs we need to hit in late November/early December not sure how many more times we get a decent to good look this winter
 
SD said:
There is a decent bit of snow noise on the eps for different parts of the region outside of the mountains either side of Thanksgiving. Not going to lie if we get a pattern similar to the eps and to a lesser extent the gefs we need to hit in late November/early December not sure how many more times we get a decent to good look this winter
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Hit us up with a eps snow view…?
 
This upper low becomes the feature to watch around turkey day ecmwf_z500a_us_11 (26).png
gem_z500_vort_us_40.png
A phase with the northern stream and cut its a concern. This time of year you have to thread the needle a little more versus in the dead of winter as well. If it doesn't get channeled and sheared and can move in on the heels of a fresh cold air mass you might have something
 
SD said:
There is a decent bit of snow noise on the eps for different parts of the region outside of the mountains either side of Thanksgiving. Not going to lie if we get a pattern similar to the eps and to a lesser extent the gefs we need to hit in late November/early December not sure how many more times we get a decent to good look this winter
Click to expand...
You are correct. I’ve said several times that if those of us outside the mountains are gonna score this winter, it’s gotta happen in the first half. Though the Niña is predicted to weaken as we go later in the season, climo favors predominantly mild air taking over from about Jan 10 on, and could be a total torch by February
 
Chazwin said:
You are correct. I’ve said several times that if those of us outside the mountains are gonna score this winter, it’s gotta happen in the first half. Though the Niña is predicted to weaken as we go later in the season, climo favors predominantly mild air taking over from about Jan 10 on, and could be a total torch by February
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Still forecaste to last into spring as moderate Nina per latest enso
 
Chazwin said:
You are correct. I’ve said several times that if those of us outside the mountains are gonna score this winter, it’s gotta happen in the first half. Though the Niña is predicted to weaken as we go later in the season, climo favors predominantly mild air taking over from about Jan 10 on, and could be a total torch by February
Click to expand...
Yeah I feel like the SER is more of a 2nd half feature but the potential upwelling in the pac over the next few weeks makes me wonder if we see the SER as more of a wall to wall feature in Jan and we see it break down in Feb as the nina potentially falls apart
 
SD said:
This upper low becomes the feature to watch around turkey day View attachment 94929
View attachment 94930
A phase with the northern stream and cut its a concern. This time of year you have to thread the needle a little more versus in the dead of winter as well. If it doesn't get channeled and sheared and can move in on the heels of a fresh cold air mass you might have something
Click to expand...
I hope it only gives me snow ?
 
Large area of snow moving through Ohio atm that’s what gonna cause snow for Ashe, Watauga, Allegheny. Don’t know if the current snow is making it to the ground over Virginia
 
WWA out for 3” snow by Blacksburg for some, SPS will be out later for up to 2” snow for other MTN counties. Checked the short term guidance and around 4am Monday there is medium chance of wind snow for Wilkes and Caldwell and maybe some other foothill counties. Wind advisories also to be expanded south later today. Cold.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
Large area of snow moving through Ohio atm that’s what gonna cause snow for Ashe, Watauga, Allegheny. Don’t know if the current snow is making it to the ground over Virginia
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It’s just light flurries at most in VA
 
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