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Pattern Novemburrr

SD said:
Euro is still inching SWView attachment 95649

But with the low at 850/700 initially to our N we get into a mid level waa pattern so anything that falls during the day Sunday would be rain.
View attachment 95650
But as the low starts to redevelop off of the nc coast CAA takes over and the column crashes
View attachment 95651


the question then becomes is there any moisture available to help erode the warm in the 925 to sfc layers which are still warm as CAA is slower weaker in these levels

View attachment 95652

View attachment 95653
View attachment 95654

The slightly banded/convective look makes it seem like it wouldn't be impossible to get a few flakes
View attachment 95655

All of this though presumes the euro is correct. My concern is we see the euro start inching NE in time. We will see
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Yeah didn't like seeing that energy out west flattening the pac ridge, was surprised it trended SW considering that but the NE confluence trending stronger and SW, not sure which way it budges on the 12z run
 
Related to my post right above this, here’s the last 6Z EPS map (144), which is very similar to the 0Z’s 150 (0Z run then went on to much colder changes in the E US shortly after):

E67C2079-E6C7-40BD-83B7-68FFADAE2E64.png

Now compare to yesterday’s 12Z:

754AA9C9-45D1-4462-98B0-CF1122BB657F.png
 
Back to the 0Z EPS, check out how much colder it later got in the E US (this is hour 216) due to that much stronger west coast ridge/Aleutian trough couplet vs the 12Z 228: (It’s a shame that there are no Tuesday Bleaklies as the entire rest of the 0Z run was much colder in the E US, one of the biggest changes to colder from one run to the next in recent memory)

AFBC1693-D1D6-46AE-BD96-09CF82E5A5BB.png
 
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KATL typically does relatively well (from a cold lover’s point of view) on CAA days:

RGA
WEATHER ROUNDUP FOR GEORGIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1000 AM EST TUE NOV 23 2021

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR S TO VISIBILITY.

* = USE WITH CAUTION. THE STATIONS MARKED WITH AN ASTERISK MAY NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION, FOG, OR THUNDER AND ARE NOT
QUALITY CONTROLLED BY NWS.

THE REMARK "TC" DENOTES TEMPERATURE READING IN DEGREES CELSIUS.

GAZ001>058-231600-
NORTH GEORGIA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
ATLANTA MOSUNNY 40 20 44 N10 30.26R WCI 33
ATHENS SUNNY 43 20 39 VRB3 30.26R
CHAMBLEE SUNNY 41 22 46 NW8 30.26S
PEACHTREE CITY SUNNY 43 20 39 N6 30.28R
ROME MOSUNNY 41 23 48 N9 30.31R
WEST ATLANTA SUNNY 41 22 46 N6 30.28R
GAINESVILLE SUNNY 41 17 38 NW6 30.26R
CARTERSVILLE SUNNY 37 25 60 VRB5 30.32R WCI 34
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
I think we easily see some wet snow mixed in verbatim what the ICON has
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I wouldn't say "easily", potential is there but need decent rates and a colder BL. Not out of the question to see a late blooming coastal, to which I'm not opposed lol
 
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