Pattern Novemburrr

[GaWx]

Holy wow, what has gotten into tonight's Euro?

 

[GaWx]

EPS doing it too! Wow!

 

[GaWx]

The entire run is so much colder than the 12Z which itself was a little colder than the prior 0Z!

 

[Disco_Lemonade]

Pretty spicy meatball right there

 

[Avalanche]

This forum is depressing toda

The forum is fine. The weather outlook is depressing. Having a bunch of weather depressed people trash on it is fun!!

 

[Shaggy]

Need the wind to let up if we are gonna drop the last 5 degrees to get to our forecasted low tonight

 

[Metwannabe]

Pretty spicy meatball right there

Nice little trend we go going, although I don't like the flattening of the pac ridge

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This pattern is prone to a SE ridge heavily but also the reward is higher

 

[EmersonGA]

26.8 currently and I picked up .48" of rain yesterday morning. For all the ATL talk I can confirm that it was below freezing inside the perimeter. My family is sick so I rode down to the office early this morning to get my computer and it was 31 on the car thermometer with heavy frost on the office yard. The grass was quite crunchy.

 

[Wulfer]

This pattern is prone to a SE ridge heavily but also the reward is higher View attachment 95644View attachment 95645

This looks more inline with what the Old Farmer's Almanac has been suggesting. Folks this might be our winter!

 

[Chazwin]

This pattern is prone to a SE ridge heavily but also the reward is higher View attachment 95644View attachment 95645

The good news is, the MJO doesn’t appear to be favorable for a SER. Doesn’t mean it can’t happen of course, but anything that can help doesn’t hurt

 

[HugeSnowStick]

27.6 at my house in NE ATL...

 

[J.C.]

29.4F currently IMBY, Atlanta has reached 32F for it's official first freeze.

 

[NCSNOW]

17 with a windchill of 4 in Boone this morning.

Gonna be close, But close only counts in Hoarse shoes: Maybe we can see some mtn webcam snow. Bout best case scenerio with this one.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Still cant get under the 30 mark but should get below it tomorrow morning. Minor frost on roof tops. ill give it 3/10.

 

[Tarheel1]

I’m know expert, but that 6Z GFS was horrible for cold! The coldest I get in the whole run is 19?! Guess GFS and Euro are kind of opposite ends of the spectrum!

 

[WXinCanton]

26.8 currently and I picked up .48" of rain yesterday morning. For all the ATL talk I can confirm that it was below freezing inside the perimeter. My family is sick so I rode down to the office early this morning to get my computer and it was 31 on the car thermometer with heavy frost on the office yard. The grass was quite crunchy.

Hartsfield even hit 32. 28 IMBY

 

[wxdaniel]

A link worth saving for later, esp for SC folks. SC State Climate Office has a database of winter storm events going back to 1958 in GIS format:

https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/7ae9e53751d547cabe5c1dbaa74b2336/page/page_0/

Thanks for this find! I'm actually working on something similar to yours for N.C. for S.C. for school. This will help a great deal. I got tired of CoCoRaHS unreliable interface.

 

[SD]

Euro is still inching SW

But with the low at 850/700 initially to our N we get into a mid level waa pattern so anything that falls during the day Sunday would be rain.

But as the low starts to redevelop off of the nc coast CAA takes over and the column crashes



the question then becomes is there any moisture available to help erode the warm in the 925 to sfc layers which are still warm as CAA is slower weaker in these levels






The slightly banded/convective look makes it seem like it wouldn't be impossible to get a few flakes


All of this though presumes the euro is correct. My concern is we see the euro start inching NE in time. We will see