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November 2025

LukeBarrette said:
View attachment 176201
Oh baby
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If it were a month later, I really would be excited about the prospect of snow showers breaking containment with that amount of energy. It’s just kinda hard to buy into in early November. I do recall however, a similar set up in November 2013 allowed widespread precip to come east of the mountains and it really kinda flared up east of I-77. I ended up with a solid coating on the grass from that and I think areas further east of me got more.
 
Chazwin said:
If it were a month later, I really would be excited about the prospect of snow showers breaking containment with that amount of energy. It’s just kinda hard to buy into in early November. I do recall however, a similar set up in November 2013 allowed widespread precip to come east of the mountains and it really kinda flared up east of I-77. I ended up with a solid coating on the grass from that and I think areas further east of me got more.
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Remember that day vividly. It was 68 at 2PM as I was leaving the government center uptown and snowing by seven.
 
GaWx said:
Here are the progs for Nov 11th lows from the latest ICON/CMC/Euro/GFS/UKMET

1. GA
-SAV: 29/31/34/34/35
-NE ATL (Chamblee): 25/23/29/34/32

2. SC
-GSP: 23/21/29/27/29
-CAE: 28/32/33/32/34

3. NC
-CLT: 25/30/31/29/32
-RDU: 28/34/32/32/35

—————————
Average for each model for the 6 cities:

ICON: 26.3
CMC: 28.5
Euro: 31.3
GFS: 31.3
UKMET: 32.6

Any guesses for:
1. Which model for the 6 cities averaged out will do best?

2. Which model for the 6 cities averaged out will do worst?
———————

My guesses:
1. Best: Euro/GFS (tie)
2. Worst: ICON

Edit: I’m guessing that the average low for these 6 cities will be 30.5F.
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Since I posted this (6Z), the GFS has gotten a few degrees colder most areas the last 2 runs and is now at the following for 11/7 7AM:

SAV 30 vs 34
PDK 32 (which is still too warm) vs 34
GSP 27 vs 27 (likely ~2F too warm)
CAE 29 vs 32
CLT 29 vs 29
RDU 30 vs 32

GFS AVG 29.5 (0Z) vs 31.3 (6Z)
 
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