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November 2025

Gets cold next week. Then the trough shifts east, and we get back to warm beautiful SE ridge weather. I kinda love it (what's wrong me, I'm going warminista?). I bet we wedge a bit at times with the -NAO but the western trough hangs out mid-late November. I guess it's the fall leaves, sunshine, and low 70s, it's just really nice. Maybe December we convert to winter, but I'm enjoying November. 🏝️🏜️🔥🌞

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The rumors of torch are not necessarily to be believed. 11 days ago for this potentially record challenging cold shot:
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We bit of difference :D
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12z Canadian is absolutely frigid. 850s down to -12 to -13c over north ga. Highs might not get above freezing for places like gainesville Monday. Atlanta/west ga would certainly struggle to do so also. If that verified it would truly be extraordinary.
 

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Rather hot in the USVI today. I hope they're alright!

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One thing all the ops and ens agree on. QPF is paltry throughout most of NOV. No surprise there, but we need this to reverse before winter starts closing out come March.
 
Most of lower elevation NC officially has a snow mean in the short-ish term for the first time this season. Credit to Mitch West for the image lol.
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Most of the members are dry, but there are a handful of relative bangers that beef up the totals. Hard to imagine this producing accumulating snowfall for most unless this thing really goes all out and tries to go neg. tilt somehow, which seems quite unlikely given the kicker (i.e. trailing energy) that will be shoving it eastward. Still, I think some snow showers are definitely possible east of the mountains and who knows, a lucky few might even get lucky enough to see the grass whiten up.
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One thing all the ops and ens agree on. QPF is paltry throughout most of NOV. No surprise there, but we need this to reverse before winter starts closing out come March.
I do not see it reversing. We have a 1985-86 repeat coming with drought.
 
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