Looks like GFS is right
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Pattern November 2022
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
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Brick Tamland
Member
Temps in the 80s and then a possible tropical system in November. Might as well get a chance of snow in there since we're going extreme.
ATLwxfan
Member
Big changes from 12z to 18z. Always bet on the SER.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Itryatgolf
Member
Not sure how many know Raindance from American weather. He is from New Mexico I believe. Supposed to be well respected in the weather community. He pretty much is saying we better enjoy a week or so end of November then the furnace starts☹
So last year I was to run a marathon in Savannah 1st weekend of Nov. Thanks to strong blocking and a very unusual stubborn low, it got canceled 1 hour before the start due to 30 mph winds, heavy rain and temps in the 40s. This year I'm running Richmond next weekend and my goodness I hope this is wrong. ?
? @ILMRoss a little help here
? @ILMRoss a little help here
DeeeeTeeeeee is a little more well respected and known and he says your snake charmer oil salesman you dig up on the dark web, is wrong
Well if it can’t snow, it can wind! ?
Ugh, not ideal running conditions that's for sure, neither solution really (but I'd take rain over hot/muggy)
BHS1975
Member
Ugh, not ideal running conditions that's for sure, neither solution really (but I'd take rain over hot/muggy)
Will be like a biathlon with running and swimming.
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oof, that's pretty terrible for running, agreed. to warm and especially humid. I hope you can make the best of it.Ugh, not ideal running conditions that's for sure, neither solution really (but I'd take rain over hot/muggy)
weatherfide
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Icon solution kills the rain chances from eastern AL to central NC. Ouch. I hope it's wrong.
weatherfide
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Well, that means I don't have to use propane to heat my home, so it's not all bad. I would think that a -NAO might help mitigate that some. I would like to see some supporting documentation for this prognostication.
Big time temperature gradient with the cold front moving in. In the 70s right now and will probably be in the 40s in 2-3 hours.
12z GFS dew points for midday next Tuesday. Can anybody see the CAD.... With la nina this year, I would think we need to get use to this.
Most of us come on this board because we love weather. Here is the 12z GFS for day 6. This is an interesting setup:
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Glad to see the GFS sticking with the pattern change on the 13th; still a ways out but the front really comes through on the 12th so only 8 days away. Here's a snapshot of the 14th; looks fantastic!
Euro also shows the front sweeping through on the 13th.
Euro also shows the front sweeping through on the 13th.
Beautiful, moist day ! 62 in DBQ and 41 here In Waterloo! 
Brent
Member
Oh really now 
severestorm
Member
Wow this drought is insane. Can't remember a drought this expansive in the US
Interesting that the GFS has a cat 2 hurricane making landfall in 5 days in Florida .. lol.. not much support for that strength but have to continue to monitor that situation as any low pressure around the Bahamas have to be kept a close eye on. In terms of how this effects our weather.. I do believe seeing more support for at least some sort of weaker in general tropical low pressure headed towards the south east .. this will continue to bring our chances of a more significant rain event that’s more widespread across our area late next week into the weekend
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