Pattern November 2022

[Myfrotho704_]

Hello there -NAO

 

[SnowwxAtl]

Not really, that sort of pattern eventually favors a cold shot/high pressure to build into Mongolia/China and +EAMT which would act to eventually extend the pacific jet

I remember late December was Hella warm with tornadoes.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Step 1 to extend the pacific jet, +EAMT

 

[Itryatgolf]

Step 1 to extend the pacific jet, +EAMTView attachment 123850View attachment 123851

Myfro, I do hope we have episodes of a -epo this winter and -nao at times. Definitely after December it was pretty cold for most of us. I feel we will have some influence of an east based niña as well imo. Coldest anomalies are just west of Peru, so far

 

[NCSNOW]

Raleigh has a low of 35 here tonight. Gonna bust majorly as clouds will be very late to arrive. Should radiate to freezing here by 8-9 pm . Temps dropping like a rock as sun sets. DP mid 20s isnt ideal. Be interesting to see. Nonetheless we will hit our forecasted low by 7-8 pm, if not sooner.

 

[CaryWx]

Raleigh has a low of 35 here tonight. Gonna bust majorly as clouds will be very late to arrive. Should radiate to freezing here by 8-9 pm . Temps dropping like a rock as sun sets. DP mid 20s isnt ideal. Be interesting to see. Nonetheless we will hit our forecasted low by 7-8 pm, if not sooner.

Pretty sure we busted last night

 

[Brent]

34 and rain. This is about as bad as it gets

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Day 12-14 seeing signs of +EAMT. Don’t know if we hold on to -NAO into early-dec but watch week 1-2 of dec for a transition to Aleutian low/+PNA. Looks like tropical forcing is heading for phase 7 in dec as well. Background dominated by +GLAAM as well.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Day 12-14 seeing signs of +EAMT. Don’t know if we hold on to -NAO into early-dec but watch week 1-2 of dec for a transition to Aleutian low/+PNA. Looks like tropical forcing is heading for phase 7 in dec as well. Background dominated by +GLAAM as well. View attachment 123854

For ex, the extended gefs (which did a good job last winter with that +PNA event) shows the same exact process of +EAMT > extended pac jet > Aleutian low/+PNA but it’s keeps a -NAO this go around which is interesting. It’s worth noting a phase 7 dec MJO leans to a +TNH/-EPO/North Pacific block as well. Food for thought

 

[Brent]

Snowing like crazy here big flakes

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Snowing like crazy here big flakes

Video?


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[NCSNOW]

34/33. Still clear but dp is up.

 

[Brent]

Video?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Sorry I was driving

 

[Stevo24]

For ex, the extended gefs (which did a good job last winter with that +PNA event) shows the same exact process of +EAMT > extended pac jet > Aleutian low/+PNA but it’s keeps a -NAO this go around which is interesting. It’s worth noting a phase 7 dec MJO leans to a +TNH/-EPO/North Pacific block as well. Food for thought View attachment 123855View attachment 123856

So for us dummies what does this mean? Good or bad for winter weather?

 

[Snowfan]

So for us dummies what does this mean? Good or bad for winter weather?

Good.

 

[iGRXY]

So for us dummies what does this mean? Good or bad for winter weather?

Good

 

[Brent]

That was most definitely the peak of the snow here. Back to rain now and no accumulation at my apartment but that was a nice teaser honestly those big fat flakes are my favorite anyway... The dry stuff can't compete

 

[CaryWx]

+PNA and phase 7 are good places to be

 

[Tarheel1]

 

[J.C.]

These SSE winds are bringing in some warmer air tonight, not sure about 40s tomorrow.