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Pattern November 2022

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Itryatgolf

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NCSNOW

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Raleigh has a low of 35 here tonight. Gonna bust majorly as clouds will be very late to arrive. Should radiate to freezing here by 8-9 pm . Temps dropping like a rock as sun sets. DP mid 20s isnt ideal. Be interesting to see. Nonetheless we will hit our forecasted low by 7-8 pm, if not sooner.
 

CaryWx

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Raleigh has a low of 35 here tonight. Gonna bust majorly as clouds will be very late to arrive. Should radiate to freezing here by 8-9 pm . Temps dropping like a rock as sun sets. DP mid 20s isnt ideal. Be interesting to see. Nonetheless we will hit our forecasted low by 7-8 pm, if not sooner.
Pretty sure we busted last night
 

Myfrotho704_

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Day 12-14 seeing signs of +EAMT. Don’t know if we hold on to -NAO into early-dec but watch week 1-2 of dec for a transition to Aleutian low/+PNA. Looks like tropical forcing is heading for phase 7 in dec as well. Background dominated by +GLAAM as well. F6B6F3FD-D985-4C49-9963-D394B232B0C7.png
 

Myfrotho704_

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Day 12-14 seeing signs of +EAMT. Don’t know if we hold on to -NAO into early-dec but watch week 1-2 of dec for a transition to Aleutian low/+PNA. Looks like tropical forcing is heading for phase 7 in dec as well. Background dominated by +GLAAM as well. View attachment 123854
For ex, the extended gefs (which did a good job last winter with that +PNA event) shows the same exact process of +EAMT > extended pac jet > Aleutian low/+PNA but it’s keeps a -NAO this go around which is interesting. It’s worth noting a phase 7 dec MJO leans to a +TNH/-EPO/North Pacific block as well. Food for thought C5696FC0-AE34-48C4-90E4-0EEE767B595C.png46C5F1D7-5CFE-4F59-B2C7-86C8440EF01A.png
 

Stevo24

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For ex, the extended gefs (which did a good job last winter with that +PNA event) shows the same exact process of +EAMT > extended pac jet > Aleutian low/+PNA but it’s keeps a -NAO this go around which is interesting. It’s worth noting a phase 7 dec MJO leans to a +TNH/-EPO/North Pacific block as well. Food for thought View attachment 123855View attachment 123856
So for us dummies what does this mean? Good or bad for winter weather?
 
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