The HRRR and 3k had actually been showing that convergence for a few runs! Cool to see it verify (to a degree)
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Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers
- Thread starter Six Mile Wx
- Start date
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
What does the GEFS look like?
Been seeing that one for 2 days but never thought it would do much, but man it’s actually closer now
WXinCanton
Member
My favorite weenie radar, the old intellicast.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lots of spread but GEFS favors the inland CMC/ICON solutions w/ a closed upper trough over the mid MS valley
This snow?
Starting to see some (possible) snow showers developing in northwest Alabama.
StormStalker
Member
I’m in muscle shoals. I’ll let you know here in a few minutes if it’s doing anything here.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Oth, the recent GEFS trend is actually going towards the GFS parallel and operational w/ a more strung out, positively tilted large scale trough axis. Still lots of time to sort this one out, need to see where the 12z ECMWF goes here, not an easy forecast whatsoever
May head up to blowing rock. I only chase places that have a somewhat bigger city/town. NAM doesn’t show any chance of road issues until well after 10pm. Even then, roads are already covered in salt and are warm this time of year.
Hour 144 = hour 192 now due to covid, lol
From GSP
Can't rule out a narrow band of short
lived rain/snow showers developing east of the mountains along
an area of lee convergence early this evening, mainly near the
NC/SC border. The main question is will there be sufficient
moisture in spite of the downsloping flow at low levels. Will
look at adding low end PoPs for this area with the next update.
Current winter products look well placed.
Can't rule out a narrow band of short
lived rain/snow showers developing east of the mountains along
an area of lee convergence early this evening, mainly near the
NC/SC border. The main question is will there be sufficient
moisture in spite of the downsloping flow at low levels. Will
look at adding low end PoPs for this area with the next update.
Current winter products look well placed.
@Rain Cold gusted to 26 with that rain you might set a record
NoSnowATL
Member
You’re in a good spot that’s for sure.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Wow great catch. Looks like someone is gonna be snow chasing
Yessir. Need it to hold on for quite a while longer
I am also curious to see what the euro does as well. You know it wont take much more to back that around and push the ull into a favorable positions potentially. I will be up near 2,000 this weekend in N GA so I am rooting it on. haha
I forget which one of y'all is chasing in Gatlinburg today, but GSP mentioned snow squall conditions and blowing snow for later today at elevation
AJ1013
Member
Cold front and associated squall line is pushing through Naples, FL. Only a few more hours of heat to endure!