Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers

[BufordWX]

Massive increase on all00z models so far for middle TN.
Insane.

View attachment 54554

I think most of that increase is coming from the models latching on to a changeover to snow tomorrow morning as that deformation band moves through.

 

[jackendrickwx]

What are you seeing?

I've just seen a lot of models throwing out flurries in the north upstate into the charlotte area. Novelty flakes is the best case scenario. I will say soundings are not very good and I tend to go with experience/climo with stuff like this
edit: also tim buckley has tweeted a couple times today about this fwiw

 

[accu35]

Looks decent up where I'm going

 

[jackendrickwx]

Somebody is scoring outside the mountains. Central TN seems like the best bet rn. Although could just be a classic NAM'ing, we'll see

 

[cd2play]

Virtual only school FTW ?

 

[BufordWX]

Somebody is scoring outside the mountains. Central TN seems like the best bet rn. Although could just be a classic NAM'ing, we'll see

The area to watch tomorrow morning will be Nashville and eastward IMO.

 

[J.C.]

Massive increase on all00z models so far for middle TN.
Insane.

View attachment 54554

I’ll take that .3” and run!

 

[BufordWX]

Below freezing 850 line already rushing into Tennessee. Once that passes by you just need the surface temperatures to start dropping and that rain band should start mixing with if not turning to snow.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Below freezing 850 line already rushing into Tennessee. Once that passes by you just need the surface temperatures to start dropping and that rain band should start mixing with if not turning to snow.

Is precip outpacing the 850 0C line?
edit: NVM, 850s look way faster

 

[BufordWX]

Is precip outpacing the 850 0C line?

From the look of things the precipitation is going more to the north while the 850 line is surging more east.

 

[olhausen]

Somebody is scoring outside the mountains. Central TN seems like the best bet rn. Although could just be a classic NAM'ing, we'll see

I’ll report tomorrow if this is an over performer. Temp only got to 51 today and was forecasted to be 56. It’s 42.8 at the moment.

 

[Avalanche]

I’ll report tomorrow if this is an over performer. Temp only got to 51 today and was forecasted to be 56. It’s 42.8 at the moment.

Where are you chasing at?

 

[SETNwx]

From the look of things the precipitation is going more to the north while the 850 line is surging more east.

Looks like the precip is crashing into the Himalayas (aka the Cumberland Plateau) and dying out fast...

 

[BufordWX]

Looks like the precip is crashing into the Himalayas (aka the Cumberland Plateau) and dying out fast...

Nashville radar still looks pretty good

 

[olhausen]

Sleet city wasn’t lying about middle Tennessee getting a classic NAM job. Hrrr looks juicy also. Even though I don’t expect it I would also not be shocked to wake up to a surprise in the morning. If the rates are heavy enough to drop the temps I guess it’s possible.

 

[SETNwx]

Sleet city wasn’t lying about middle Tennessee getting a classic NAM job. Hrrr looks juicy also. Even though I don’t expect it I would also not be shocked to wake up to a surprise in the morning. If the rates are heavy enough to drop the temps I guess it’s possible.

You're in a good spot to either overperform, or underperform.. lol (yeah, I realize this sounds dumb..)

 

[BufordWX]

In other news, the ICON has more snow in Tennessee next weekend.

 

[SETNwx]

In other news, the ICON has more snow in Tennessee next weekend.View attachment 54562

Yeah, this might be a sneaky one to pay attn to...

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

NAM looking juicy for Nashville East @ 00z. Heavy rate driven snow

 

[accu35]

NAM looking juicy for Nashville East @ 00z. Heavy rate driven snow

Pic please lol