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Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers

MRX kinda bullish on the snow showers around here in latest forecast.. kinda surprising:

Monday
A chance of rain showers before 3pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 36 by 4pm. Northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday Night
A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 8pm, then a slight chance of snow showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. West wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
 
If that trough would have gotten out in front of that wave and the wave circled would have gone neg/neutral tilt we would have been in business. I’m marking this as the GFS progressive bias ?
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