Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers

[BufordWX]

FFC just put this out. Actually mentioning light accumulations in far north Georgia.

Finally, as the center of the low pressure system lifts over north Georgia, moisture and lift will combine with very cold temperatures to the north and aloft to allow for some of the rain to mix with and change to snow over parts of north and west Georgia, roughly north of a Canton to Dawsonville to Helen line. Temperatures are expected to fall quickly into the upper 20s and lower 30s during this time, so any light snow accumulations may lead to some hazardous road conditions. It is too soon to say exactly where and how much snow could fall, but based on the latest information, snow accumulations should remain below 1 inch.

 

[whatalife]

It always has potential past hour 200 don’t it View attachment 54343

Yep...CMC, GFS, Euro full of potential after hour 200...#neverfailstohappen


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

FFC just put this out. Actually mentioning light accumulations in far north Georgia.

Finally, as the center of the low pressure system lifts over north Georgia, moisture and lift will combine with very cold temperatures to the north and aloft to allow for some of the rain to mix with and change to snow over parts of north and west Georgia, roughly north of a Canton to Dawsonville to Helen line. Temperatures are expected to fall quickly into the upper 20s and lower 30s during this time, so any light snow accumulations may lead to some hazardous road conditions. It is too soon to say exactly where and how much snow could fall, but based on the latest information, snow accumulations should remain below 1 inch.

Game on !

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Euro is a lil chilly Wednesday morning for the smokies

 

[Tarheel1]

That ridge over the Aleutians is no bueno

I like the cold NW look! That always translates to SE snows! We get our best snows when SEA gets snow!

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Euro also sucks for ULL #2 with it going north so it’s just the mountains only, euro is back to disappointing isn’t it

Funny how the best model is the most disappointing. I wonder why that is?

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

The headline for the Special Weather Statement reads Light snow accumulations possible over North and West Georgia.... to me that means places like Carrollton, Cedartown, etc.... That's West Georgia to me.

 

[NoSnowATL]

The headline for the Special Weather Statement reads Light snow accumulations possible over North and West Georgia.... to me that means places like Carrollton, Cedartown, etc.... That's West Georgia to me.

Above 285/ I-20. Yep

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

The wording from FFC is definitely a bit confusing, saying snow for north and west ga, and then saying mainly north of a line from Canton to Helen. Well, West Georgia is nowhere near that line so it makes no sense.

 

[NoSnowATL]

The wording from FFC is definitely a bit confusing, saying snow for north and west ga, and then saying mainly north of a line from Canton to Helen. Well, West Georgia is nowhere near that line so it makes no sense.

It’s North Georgia. Just very North Georgia.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

It’s North Georgia. Just very North Georgia.

But they also say West Georgia.

 

[BufordWX]

The wording from FFC is definitely a bit confusing, saying snow for north and west ga, and then saying mainly north of a line from Canton to Helen. Well, West Georgia is nowhere near that line so it makes no sense.

I would assume those are the areas that best have a chance of light accumulation. At the very least I think Atlanta and surrounding areas have a decent shot at flurries or a light snow shower. Any snowflake will be a win.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

I would assume those are the areas that best have a chance of light accumulation. At the very least I think Atlanta and surrounding areas have a decent shot at flurries or a light snow shower. Any snowflake will be a win.

I'm still hopeful that even metro Atlanta may see a light dusting.

 

[BufordWX]

Not terribly knowledgeable on lake effect snow, but is there any possibility that lake Lanier might try something. I know it can at least in minute amounts.

 

[Webberweather53]

The SE ridge is about to pop in 3...2...1

 

[Webberweather53]

Not terribly knowledgeable on lake effect snow, but is there any possibility that lake Lanier might try something. I know it can at least in minute amounts.

It's possible, you need at least an 8-8.5C difference between the lake and 850mb temperature w/ at least some semblance of CAPE. These lapse rates kinda suck (verbatim) on the 12z GFS

 

[BirdManDoomW]

I bet things will look different after wave 1 severe/MTN snow passes. Models can’t be seeing things clearly beyond this big storm to come. I have seen it many times.

 

[BufordWX]

FFC afternoon discussion is quite interesting for far north Georgia. Not ruling out accumulation on non grassy surfaces.

First winter event of the season likely Mon afternoon and overnight
over north and west GA. Measurable snow < 1.0 inches lining up well
with WPC WWD and neighboring offices. Could be a few spots of 2
inches in higher elevations. Would normally say accumulations on
grassy surfaces only, but guidance temps all pointing to significant
cooling Mon night with sfc temps in the upper 20s in many areas of
far north GA. Will be race to see how much cold conveyer belt precip
continues into the night in spite of low level cold advection. QPF
quite light for the event.

 

[BufordWX]

FFC afternoon discussion is quite interesting for far north Georgia. Not ruling out accumulation on non grassy surfaces.

First winter event of the season likely Mon afternoon and overnight
over north and west GA. Measurable snow < 1.0 inches lining up well
with WPC WWD and neighboring offices. Could be a few spots of 2
inches in higher elevations. Would normally say accumulations on
grassy surfaces only, but guidance temps all pointing to significant
cooling Mon night with sfc temps in the upper 20s in many areas of
far north GA. Will be race to see how much cold conveyer belt precip
continues into the night in spite of low level cold advection. QPF
quite light for the event.

Also mentioning another chance next weekend with wave 2.

Moisture associated with the low`s center and wrap-around could provide another shot of winter precip for north Georgia late Saturday night into Sunday.

 

[BufordWX]

Flizzard Watch activate!